Wednesday 9 Sep 2026 · 9 picks · 5/9 hit · return 97.6%

Hits

5/9

of all published

Return

97.6%

flat-stake singles

Value picks

5/9

return 97.6%

Match	Sport	Pick	Odds	Kick-off (Helsinki time)	Status	Result
Value picksOur estimate beats the market
Jukurit – HIFKLiiga	Ice hockey🏒	HIFK to win (incl. overtime)PokerStars Sports	1.60	Wed, 9 Sept 2026, 18:30Wed 9 Sept18:30morning	Loss	Jukurit won 3–1.
		HIFK's greater squad depth and Jukurit's 1–2 start tilt the assessment towards the away side. My estimate is around 65%, with the odds threshold at 62.5%.
HIFK's greater squad depth and Jukurit's 1–2 start tilt the assessment towards the away side. My estimate is around 65%, with the odds threshold at 62.5%.
Puerto Rico – KiinaFIBA naisten MM-kisat	Basketball🏀	Puerto Rico +10 pointsCaliente	1.83	Wed, 9 Sept 2026, 18:45Wed 9 Sept18:45morning	Win	China won 75–72; Puerto Rico +10 landed.
		Puerto Rico's low turnover count, steals and McGee-Stafford's rebounding support the Handicap. Estimated probability of covering is around 59%.
Puerto Rico's low turnover count, steals and McGee-Stafford's rebounding support the Handicap. Estimated probability of covering is around 59%.
Liverpool – Atlético MadridUEFA Champions League	Football⚽	Under 2.5 goalsBetMGM	2.25	Wed, 9 Sept 2026, 22:00Wed 9 Sept22:00morning	Loss	Liverpool won 2–1; 3 goals were scored in the match.
		Atlético are without Sørloth in attack and Álvarez is not fit to start; their early-season goal tally has exceeded the xG level. Estimated probability of an Under result is 48%.
Atlético are without Sørloth in attack and Álvarez is not fit to start; their early-season goal tally has exceeded the xG level. Estimated probability of an Under result is 48%.
Karen Khachanov – Alexander BlockxUS Open, miesten kaksinpeli	Tennis🎾	Khachanov to winBet365	1.73	Wed, 9 Sept 2026, 22:30Wed 9 Sept22:30morning	Win	Khachanov won following Blockx’s retirement at 6–2, 7–5, 3–2.
		Khachanov's experience and two impressive wins combine with Blockx's recent side injury. My win probability is around 64%.
Khachanov's experience and two impressive wins combine with Blockx's recent side injury. My win probability is around 64%.
Texas Rangers – Seattle MarinersMLB	Baseball⚾	Texas Rangers to winFanDuel	2.36	Wed, 9 Sept 2026, 23:10Wed 9 Sept23:10morning	Loss	Seattle Mariners beat Texas Rangers 3–2.
		Rangers have the better season record, and numberFire gives them a 55.3% win probability against the market's 42.4% threshold.
Rangers have the better season record, and numberFire gives them a 55.3% win probability against the market's 42.4% threshold.
Pelicans – KalPaLiiga	Ice hockey🏒	Pelicans to win (incl. overtime)PokerStars Sports	1.67	Wed, 9 Sept 2026, 18:30Wed 9 Sept18:30afternoon	Win	Pelicans won 2–0.
		Pelicans have started with two wins and a goal difference of 8–4. KalPa's start has been 1–1, so the home advantage and Pelicans' more consistent five-man play provide a slight edge.
Pelicans have started with two wins and a goal difference of 8–4. KalPa's start has been 1–1, so the home advantage and Pelicans' more consistent five-man play provide a slight edge.
Qinwen Zheng – Elena RybakinaUS Open, naisten kaksinpeli	Tennis🎾	Rybakina to win 2–0Ladbrokes	1.91	Wed, 9 Sept 2026, 18:30Wed 9 Sept18:30afternoon	Loss	Rybakina won 3–6, 6–1, 6–4, i.e. 2–1 in sets, not 2–0.
		Rybakina has not lost a set in the tournament, her serve has been broken only three times and the head-to-head record is 4–1 in her favour. Zheng's good form keeps the selection risky.
Rybakina has not lost a set in the tournament, her serve has been broken only three times and the head-to-head record is 4–1 in her favour. Zheng's good form keeps the selection risky.
Sporting CP – GalatasarayUEFA Champions League	Football⚽	Sporting CP to winbet365	1.80	Wed, 9 Sept 2026, 22:00Wed 9 Sept22:00afternoon	Win	Sporting CP won 3–1.
		Sporting have won four in a row. According to pre-match information, Galatasaray are without Osimhen and Lemina among others, which increases the importance of the home advantage.
Sporting have won four in a row. According to pre-match information, Galatasaray are without Osimhen and Lemina among others, which increases the importance of the home advantage.
Los Angeles Dodgers – Cincinnati RedsMLB	Baseball⚾	Dodgers -1,5 runsFanDuel	1.75	Thu, 10 Sept 2026, 05:10Thu 10 Sept05:10afternoon	Win	Dodgers won 14–1; the -1,5-run handicap landed.
		Yamamoto's ERA of 2.67 gives him a clear pitching advantage over Lowder (5.43). Dodgers are 88–57 and have won the first two games of the series.
Yamamoto's ERA of 2.67 gives him a clear pitching advantage over Lowder (5.43). Dodgers are 88–57 and have won the first two games of the series.