Thursday 24 Sep 2026 · 5 picks · 1/5 hit · return 29.2%

Hits

1/5

of all published

Return

29.2%

flat-stake singles

Likely

1/3

return 48.7%

Value picks

0/2

return 0.0%

Match	Sport	Pick	Odds	Kick-off (Helsinki time)	Status	Result
LikelyOdds 1.30–1.75 · hit more often than value picks, but at short odds one loss wipes out several wins. Edge here is usually near zero or negative – no value edge, nothing is certain.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo – Yi ZhouATP Chengdu	Tennis🎾	Juan Manuel Cerundolo to winMatch winnerOdds 1.46 · market 64.8% · our estimate 65% · edge -5.4%i	1.46	Thu, 24 Sept 2026, 11:30Thu 24 Sept11:30morning	Win	Juan Manuel Cerundolo voitti 6–4, 6–3.
		Cerundolo is 53rd in the rankings and Zhou 273rd, but Cerundolo's 7–6 record on hard courts in 2026 does not provide sufficient source-based reason to raise the estimate above the market anchor.
Cerundolo is 53rd in the rankings and Zhou 273rd, but Cerundolo's 7–6 record on hard courts in 2026 does not provide sufficient source-based reason to raise the estimate above the market anchor.
ASVEL – Maccabi Tel AvivEuroLeague	Basketball🏀	Maccabi Tel Aviv to winMatch winner · PokerStars SportsOdds 1.45 · market 63.7% · our estimate 65% · edge -5.8%i	1.45CLV −9.0 %	Thu, 24 Sept 2026, 21:45Thu 24 Sept21:45afternoon	Loss	ASVEL voitti Maccabi Tel Avivin 84–74.
		Maccabi have won the teams’ last 10 meetings, while ASVEL are without Mathis Dossou-Yovo and have two other players doubtful. However, our estimate remains below the level required by odds of 1.45.
Maccabi have won the teams’ last 10 meetings, while ASVEL are without Mathis Dossou-Yovo and have two other players doubtful. However, our estimate remains below the level required by odds of 1.45.
Los Angeles Angels – Seattle MarinersMLB	Baseball⚾	Seattle Mariners to winMatch winner · DraftKingsOdds 1.51 · market 63.5% · our estimate 64% · edge -4.1%i	1.51CLV −5.2 %	Fri, 25 Sept 2026, 04:40Fri 25 Sept04:40night	Loss	Los Angeles Angels voitti Seattle Marinersin 6–4.
		Seattle have a clear starting pitcher advantage: Bryan Woo 3.92 ERA and 1.08 WHIP, Grayson Rodriguez 5.96 ERA and 1.54 WHIP. However, the market appears to account for the difference.
Seattle have a clear starting pitcher advantage: Bryan Woo 3.92 ERA and 1.08 WHIP, Grayson Rodriguez 5.96 ERA and 1.54 WHIP. However, the market appears to account for the difference.
Value picksOur estimate beats the market
Real Madrid – Dubai BasketballEuroLeague	Basketball🏀	Real Madrid to winMatch winnerOdds 2.30 · market 42.8% · our estimate 46% · edge +4.7%i	2.30CLV −0.4 %	Thu, 24 Sept 2026, 19:00Thu 24 Sept19:00morning	Loss	Dubai Basketball voitti Real Madridin 78–77.
		Real beat Dubai 98–95 six days ago and then defeated Olympiacos. Dzanan Musa is absent for Dubai, so Real's chance is slightly higher than the market estimate.
Real beat Dubai 98–95 six days ago and then defeated Olympiacos. Dzanan Musa is absent for Dubai, so Real's chance is slightly higher than the market estimate.
Anadolu Efes – BarcelonaEuroLeague	Basketball🏀	Anadolu Efes to winMatch winner · BetMGMOdds 2.18 · market 43.8% · our estimate 47% · edge +2.5%i	2.18CLV +12.8 %	Thu, 24 Sept 2026, 21:30Thu 24 Sept21:30morning	Loss	Barcelona voitti Anadolu Efesin 89–82.
		Barcelona are playing at home without Tosan Evbuomwan and Yoan Makoundou. Efes's recorded early-season record is 3–0, so we raise the estimate for the away win marginally above the market anchor.
Barcelona are playing at home without Tosan Evbuomwan and Yoan Makoundou. Efes's recorded early-season record is 3–0, so we raise the estimate for the away win marginally above the market anchor.