Saturday 26 Sep 2026 · 9 picks · 6/9 hit · return 96.3%

Hits

6/9

of all published

Return

96.3%

flat-stake singles

Likely

5/7

return 100.7%

Value picks

1/2

return 81.0%

Match	Sport	Pick	Odds	Kick-off (Helsinki time)	Status	Result
LikelyOdds 1.30–1.75 · hit more often than value picks, but at short odds one loss wipes out several wins. Edge here is usually near zero or negative – no value edge, nothing is certain.
Stockport – PeterboroughLeague One	Football⚽	Stockport to winMatch winner (1X2)Odds 1.31 · market 71.0% · our estimate 72% · edge -5.7%i	1.31	Sat, 26 Sept 2026, 16:00Sat 26 Sept16:00morning	Win	1–0 (Stockport won)
		Stockport are the league's top scorers, while Peterborough are 23rd. The visitors' five reported absences and the exertions of Wednesday's cup match lift the Home win estimate slightly.
Stockport are the league's top scorers, while Peterborough are 23rd. The visitors' five reported absences and the exertions of Wednesday's cup match lift the Home win estimate slightly.
Sale Sharks – BristolEnglish Premiership Rugby	OtherOth	Sale Sharks to winMatch winner (1X2) · BetwayOdds 1.50 · market 64.6% · our estimate 65% · edge -3.1%i	1.50	Sat, 26 Sept 2026, 19:30Sat 26 Sept19:30morning	Loss	24–34 (Bristol won)
		Sale's strong starting line-up has been confirmed, but Bristol are also naming a competitive XV. The sources provide no reason to depart from the market's fair estimate of 64.6%.
Sale's strong starting line-up has been confirmed, but Bristol are also naming a competitive XV. The sources provide no reason to depart from the market's fair estimate of 64.6%.
Hermes Kokkola – PyryMestis	Ice hockey🏒	Hermes Kokkola to win the matchMatch winner (incl. overtime and shootout) · MarioBetOdds 1.45 · market 61.8% · our estimate 64% · edge -7.2%i	1.45CLV ±0.0 %	Sat, 26 Sept 2026, 17:00Sat 26 Sept17:00afternoon	Win	5–2 (Hermes Kokkola voitti)
		Hermes enter the home match after two rest days, while Pyry are playing their second match in less than 24 hours and travelling to Kokkola. The official line-ups and goaltenders have been announced.
Hermes enter the home match after two rest days, while Pyry are playing their second match in less than 24 hours and travelling to Kokkola. The official line-ups and goaltenders have been announced.
Chalon-sur-Saône – LimogesFrance Pro A	Basketball🏀	Chalon-sur-Saône to winMatch winner · BetclicOdds 1.37 · market 70.9% · our estimate 71% · edge -2.9%i	1.37	Sat, 26 Sept 2026, 19:00Sat 26 Sept19:00afternoon	Win	82–74 (Chalon-sur-Saône won)
		Chalon won all seven of their pre-season matches and enter their home opener with a full squad, but this information does not provide sufficient grounds to deviate from the market's 70.9% estimate.
Chalon won all seven of their pre-season matches and enter their home opener with a full squad, but this information does not provide sufficient grounds to deviate from the market's 70.9% estimate.
Bilbao Basket – Bàsquet ManresaSpain ACB	Basketball🏀	Bilbao Basket to winMatch winner · PokerStars SportsOdds 1.36 · market 67.3% · our estimate 67% · edge -8.5%i	1.36	Sat, 26 Sept 2026, 19:00Sat 26 Sept19:00afternoon	Win	107–92 (Bilbao Basket won)
		Bilbao are home favourites and will have their full squad available, while Manresa have two doubtful players. However, this information is not enough to raise our estimate above the market's fair 67.3%.
Bilbao are home favourites and will have their full squad available, while Manresa have two doubtful players. However, this information is not enough to raise our estimate above the market's fair 67.3%.
St. Louis Cardinals – Milwaukee BrewersMLB	Baseball⚾	Milwaukee Brewers to winMatch winnerOdds 1.56 · market 62.3% · our estimate 62% · edge -2.8%i	1.56CLV ±0.0 %	Sun, 27 Sept 2026, 02:10Sun 27 Sept02:10night	Win	2–3 (Milwaukee Brewers voitti)
		Milwaukee are 101–59 and St. Louis are 77–83, but Mathews' 3.65 ERA balances the starting pitchers' match-up. The sources provide no reason to deviate from the market's fair estimate.
Milwaukee are 101–59 and St. Louis are 77–83, but Mathews' 3.65 ERA balances the starting pitchers' match-up. The sources provide no reason to deviate from the market's fair estimate.
Houston Dynamo – Sporting Kansas CityMLS	Football⚽	Houston Dynamo to winMatch winner (1X2) · BetanoOdds 1.50 · market 62.2% · our estimate 62% · edge -6.7%i	1.50CLV −1.2 %	Sun, 27 Sept 2026, 03:30Sun 27 Sept03:30night	Loss	0–2 (Sporting Kansas City voitti)
		Houston are 8–2–3 at home and Sporting KC are bottom of the West with a 5–17–3 record. However, there is still insufficient additional evidence to deviate from the market.
Houston are 8–2–3 at home and Sporting KC are bottom of the West with a 5–17–3 record. However, there is still insufficient additional evidence to deviate from the market.
Value picksOur estimate beats the market
Leylah Fernandez – Maja ChwalinskaWTA Beijing	Tennis🎾	Maja Chwalinska to winMatch winner · BetUSOdds 2.30 · market 42.1% · our estimate 45% · edge +2.4%i	2.30	Sat, 26 Sept 2026, 13:05Sat 26 Sept13:05morning	Loss	Leylah Fernandez won 2–1 (1–6, 6–4, 6–2)
		Chwalinska has progressed with three straight 2–0 wins and has had a lighter match load. In addition, the player ranked 25th in the world faces Fernandez, who is ranked 31st.
Chwalinska has progressed with three straight 2–0 wins and has had a lighter match load. In addition, the player ranked 25th in the world faces Fernandez, who is ranked 31st.
Lions – LeinsterUnited Rugby Championship	OtherOth	Lions to winMatch winner (1X2)Odds 1.62 · market 60.8% · our estimate 63% · edge +1.3%i	1.62	Sat, 26 Sept 2026, 14:30Sat 26 Sept14:30morning	Win	27–26 (Lions won)
		Lions are strong at Ellis Park, and Leinster begin the season with a clearly youthful backline. The announced line-ups lift the Home win estimate slightly.
Lions are strong at Ellis Park, and Leinster begin the season with a clearly youthful backline. The announced line-ups lift the Home win estimate slightly.