Tuesday 29 Sep 2026 · 6 picks · 5/6 hit · return 124.5%

Hits

5/6

of all published

Return

124.5%

flat-stake singles

Likely

4/4

return 140.5%

Totals & spreads

1/2

return 92.5%

Match	Sport	Pick	Odds	Kick-off (Helsinki time)	Status	Result
LikelyOdds 1.30–1.75 · hit more often than value picks, but at short odds one loss wipes out several wins. Edge here is usually near zero or negative – no value edge, nothing is certain.
Jämtland Basket – BC LuleåBasketligan	Basketball🏀	Jämtland Basket to winMatch winner (incl. overtime)Odds 1.40 · market 66.7% · our estimate 68% · edge -5.4%i	1.40	Tue, 29 Sept 2026, 20:04Tue 29 Sept20:04morning	Win	96–87 (Jämtland Basket won)
		Jämtland are home favourites, but both sides started the season with a win. The sources provide no reason to raise the Home win estimate above the market's fair 67.6%.
Jämtland are home favourites, but both sides started the season with a win. The sources provide no reason to raise the Home win estimate above the market's fair 67.6%.
Boreham Wood – Kidderminster HarriersNational League	Football⚽	Boreham Wood to winMatch winner (1X2) · BetfredOdds 1.44 · market 63.6% · our estimate 64% · edge -8.4%i	1.44	Tue, 29 Sept 2026, 21:00Tue 29 Sept21:00morning	Win	3–1 (Boreham Wood home win).
		Boreham Wood lead the league unbeaten, but Kidderminster's strong start to the season and the home side's thin player situation keep the estimate at market level.
Boreham Wood lead the league unbeaten, but Kidderminster's strong start to the season and the home side's thin player situation keep the estimate at market level.
Olimpia Milano – Virtus BolognaEuroLeague	Basketball🏀	Olimpia Milano to winMatch winner (incl. overtime) · BetVictorOdds 1.33 · market 70.2% · our estimate 72% · edge -4.2%i	1.33CLV −1.4 %	Tue, 29 Sept 2026, 21:30Tue 29 Sept21:30morning	Win	87–85 to Olimpia Milano.
		Milano beat Virtus 80–71 in the Supercup. Virtus arrive for their third consecutive away game and Kevin Kokila is out, but the odds are still short.
Milano beat Virtus 80–71 in the Supercup. Virtus arrive for their third consecutive away game and Kevin Kokila is out, but the odds are still short.
Dubai Basketball – FC BarcelonaEuroLeague	Basketball🏀	Dubai Basketball to winMatch winner · FairPariOdds 1.45 · market 66.5% · our estimate 71% · edge +2.2%i	1.45CLV −2.9 %	Tue, 29 Sept 2026, 19:00Tue 29 Sept19:00afternoon	Win	94–87 Dubai Basketballille.
		Barcelona arrive in Dubai with a depleted inside rotation: Makoundou, Evboumwan and Nebo are absent. Dubai beat Real Madrid 78–77 at home in the opening round.
Barcelona arrive in Dubai with a depleted inside rotation: Makoundou, Evboumwan and Nebo are absent. Dubai beat Real Madrid 78–77 at home in the opening round.
Totals & spreadsOver/under picks call the match's total goals or points, not the winner. Odds are 1.70–2.20 and the reason is always named: pace, goaltending, absences or conditions. In ice hockey overtime and the shootout count; in football only regulation time. Spread picks call the winning margin: Lakers −4.5 wins if the Lakers win by five or more.
Anadolu Efes – Real MadridEuroLeague	Basketball🏀	Under 172.5 pointsOver/Under 172.5 points · StakeOdds 1.88 · market 50.1% · our estimate 54% · edge +1.5%i	1.88CLV −2.0 %	Tue, 29 Sept 2026, 20:00Tue 29 Sept20:00morning	Loss	94–84 → 178 points, line 172.5
		Both teams' reported pace is slow (64.0 and 62.8), and Real Madrid's defensive figure supports the Under side. Efes's offensive efficiency nevertheless limits the deviation to a modest one.
Both teams' reported pace is slow (64.0 and 62.8), and Real Madrid's defensive figure supports the Under side. Efes's offensive efficiency nevertheless limits the deviation to a modest one.
Valencia Basket – BaskoniaEuroLeague	Basketball🏀	Over 181.5 pointsOver/Under 181.5 points · BetVictorOdds 1.85 · market 49.0% · our estimate 55% · edge +1.8%i	1.85line moved	Tue, 29 Sept 2026, 21:30Tue 29 Sept21:30morning	Win	111–88 → 199 points, line 181.5
		All four of the teams' first official matches have finished with at least 190 points, and both have conceded at least 94 points in each of their two games.
All four of the teams' first official matches have finished with at least 190 points, and both have conceded at least 94 points in each of their two games.