Wednesday 14 Oct 2026 · 21 picks · 11/21 hit · return 97.0%

Hits

11/21

of all published

Return

97.0%

flat-stake singles

Specials

1/1

return 176.0%

Totals & spreads

7/14

return 96.6%

Likely

3/6

return 84.8%

Match	Sport	Pick	Odds	Kick-off (Helsinki time)	Status	Result
LikelyOdds 1.30–1.75 · hit more often than value picks, but at short odds one loss wipes out several wins. Edge here is usually near zero or negative – no value edge, nothing is certain.
Queens Park Rangers – Derby CountyChampionship (ENG)	Football⚽	Queens Park Rangers to winMatch winner (1X2) · LeoVegas (SE)Odds 1.72 · market 56.2% · our estimate 56% · edge -3.3%i	1.72CLV −8.9 %	Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 21:45Wed 14 Oct21:45morning	Win	4–1 (QPR voitti)
		QPR's results profile is more stable than Derby's, but the absences of Chair and Dembélé offset Derby's extensive shortage. The estimate is kept at the market's fair distribution.
QPR's results profile is more stable than Derby's, but the absences of Chair and Dembélé offset Derby's extensive shortage. The estimate is kept at the market's fair distribution.
Lincoln City – West Ham UnitedChampionship (ENG)	Football⚽	West Ham United to winMatch winner (1X2) · PinnacleOdds 1.74 · market 55.1% · our estimate 56% · edge -2.6%i	1.74CLV −1.1 %	Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 22:00Wed 14 Oct22:00morning	Win	0–6 (West Ham voitti)
		West Ham have been clearly more prolific in front of goal, and Lincoln are without captain Darikwa. The away win is the most likely outcome, but 1.74 does not offer a clear edge.
West Ham have been clearly more prolific in front of goal, and Lincoln are without captain Darikwa. The away win is the most likely outcome, but 1.74 does not offer a clear edge.
Sarmiento de Junin – River PlateArgentiinan Primera	Football⚽	River Plate to winMatch winner (1X2) · 1xBetOdds 1.70 · market 56.0% · our estimate 56% · edge -4.8%i	1.70CLV +7.1 %	Thu, 15 Oct 2026, 01:00Thu 15 Oct01:00morning	Loss	1–1 (tasapeli)
		River are favourites on underlying quality and bring Thiago Almada back into the starting line-up, but Sarmiento's recent results have been competitive. The sources provide no reason to depart from the market's 56.0%.
River are favourites on underlying quality and bring Thiago Almada back into the starting line-up, but Sarmiento's recent results have been competitive. The sources provide no reason to depart from the market's 56.0%.
Inter Miami CF – New York City FCMLS	Football⚽	Inter Miami CF to winMatch winner (1X2) · LeoVegas (SE)Odds 1.63 · market 59.2% · our estimate 59% · edge -3.5%i	1.63CLV +5.3 %	Thu, 15 Oct 2026, 02:30Thu 15 Oct02:30night	Win	2–0 (Inter Miami voitti)
		Miami are clear favourites due to their attacking figures and NYCFC's midfield absences, but 1.63 already accurately reflects the balance of power in the match and offers no clear edge.
Miami are clear favourites due to their attacking figures and NYCFC's midfield absences, but 1.63 already accurately reflects the balance of power in the match and offers no clear edge.
Los Angeles Dodgers – Milwaukee BrewersMLB	Baseball⚾	Los Angeles Dodgers to winMatch winner · 1xBetOdds 1.61 · market 60.9% · our estimate 61% · edge -1.9%i	1.61CLV ±0.0 %	Thu, 15 Oct 2026, 03:00Thu 15 Oct03:00night	Loss	Los Angeles Dodgers 2–6 Milwaukee Brewers
		Blake Snell gives the Dodgers justified favourite status, but Gasser's strong finish to the season and the Brewers' play-off bullpen prevent us from raising the estimate above the market.
Blake Snell gives the Dodgers justified favourite status, but Gasser's strong finish to the season and the Brewers' play-off bullpen prevent us from raising the estimate above the market.
Colorado Avalanche – Dallas StarsNHL	Ice hockey🏒	Colorado Avalanche to win (incl. overtime and shootout)Match winner · PinnacleOdds 1.75 · market 55.7% · our estimate 56% · edge -2.5%i	1.75CLV +6.1 %	Thu, 15 Oct 2026, 03:30Thu 15 Oct03:30night	Loss	Colorado Avalanche 2–3 Dallas Stars voittomaalikilpailun jälkeen
		Colorado are narrow favourites at home and won the teams' first meeting 3–2, but the B2B situation for both sides and the back-up goaltenders keep the estimate anchored to the market.
Colorado are narrow favourites at home and won the teams' first meeting 3–2, but the B2B situation for both sides and the back-up goaltenders keep the estimate anchored to the market.
Totals & spreadsOver/under picks call the match's total goals or points, not the winner. Odds are 1.70–2.20 and the reason is always named: pace, goaltending, absences or conditions. In ice hockey overtime and the shootout count; in football only regulation time. Spread picks call the winning margin: Lakers −4.5 wins if the Lakers win by five or more.
Hapoel Tel Aviv – Beşiktaş J.K.EuroLeague	Basketball🏀	Under 176.5 pointsOver/Under 176.5 points · PinnacleOdds 1.95 · market 50.0% · our estimate 53% · edge +3.4%i	1.95CLV ±0.0 %	Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 19:00Wed 14 Oct19:00morning	Loss	100–82 → 182 pistettä, raja 176,5
		Both teams' total-points averages over their last five matches are below the line, and several backcourt and rotation absences lower the offensive ceiling.
Both teams' total-points averages over their last five matches are below the line, and several backcourt and rotation absences lower the offensive ceiling.
Anadolu Efes – FC Bayern MünchenEuroLeague	Basketball🏀	FC Bayern München +5.5 pointsHandicap −5.5 · CoolbetOdds 1.93 · market 50.3% · our estimate 57% · edge +10.0%i	1.93CLV +2.7 %	Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 20:30Wed 14 Oct20:30morning	Win	93–101 → marginaali +8, linja +5,5
		Efes are missing three significant players, including Mike James. Bayern enter the match with a full roster, and Lucic, Jokubaitis and Thiemann rested at the weekend.
Efes are missing three significant players, including Mike James. Bayern enter the match with a full roster, and Lucic, Jokubaitis and Thiemann rested at the weekend.
Paris Basketball – Virtus Segafredo BolognaEuroLeague	Basketball🏀	Virtus Segafredo Bologna +3.5 pointsHandicap +3.5 · 1xBetOdds 1.93 · market 50.0% · our estimate 54% · edge +4.2%i	1.93CLV ±0.0 %	Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 21:45Wed 14 Oct21:45morning	Win	94–96 → marginaali +2, linja +3,5
		Virtus have started the EuroLeague more consistently, and no absences have been reported in their squad. The availability of Ntilikina and Pereira remains uncertain for Paris, so +3.5 gains a slight edge.
Virtus have started the EuroLeague more consistently, and no absences have been reported in their squad. The availability of Ntilikina and Pereira remains uncertain for Paris, so +3.5 gains a slight edge.
Queens Park Rangers – Derby CountyChampionship (ENG)	Football⚽	Under 2.5 goalsOver/Under 2.5 goals · PinnacleOdds 2.00 · market 48.4% · our estimate 51% · edge +2.0%i	2.00CLV +1.0 %	Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 21:45Wed 14 Oct21:45morning	Loss	4–1 → 5 maalia, raja 2,5
		QPR's recent matches have been low-scoring, and the absences of Chair and Dembélé weaken creativity. Derby's defensive and goalkeeping absences limit how high the Under estimate can be raised.
QPR's recent matches have been low-scoring, and the absences of Chair and Dembélé weaken creativity. Derby's defensive and goalkeeping absences limit how high the Under estimate can be raised.
Lincoln City – West Ham UnitedChampionship (ENG)	Football⚽	Over 2.5 goalsOver/Under 2.5 goals · CasumoOdds 1.74 · market 56.4% · our estimate 60% · edge +4.4%i	1.74CLV −9.8 %	Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 22:00Wed 14 Oct22:00morning	Win	0–6 → 6 maalia, raja 2,5
		Eight of West Ham's 10 matches have gone Over 2.5 goals and their total-goals average is 4.1. Lincoln's sample also has 5/10 Overs, so the direction changes to Over.
Eight of West Ham's 10 matches have gone Over 2.5 goals and their total-goals average is 4.1. Lincoln's sample also has 5/10 Overs, so the direction changes to Over.
KalPa – ÄssätLiiga	Ice hockey🏒	Under 5.5 goalsOver/Under 5.5 goals · GrosvenorOdds 1.70 · market 57.3% · our estimate 61% · edge +3.7%i	1.70CLV +22.8 %	Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 18:30Wed 14 Oct18:30afternoon	Win	0–1 → 1 maalia, raja 5,5
		The teams' goal environment over their last 10 matches has been low, KalPa's penalty kill is strong and the home team are without two important forwards.
The teams' goal environment over their last 10 matches has been low, KalPa's penalty kill is strong and the home team are without two important forwards.
JYP – LukkoLiiga	Ice hockey🏒	Over 5.5 goalsOver/Under 5.5 goals · 1xBetOdds 2.03 · market 48.5% · our estimate 51% · edge +2.5%i	2.03CLV ±0.0 %	Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 18:30Wed 14 Oct18:30afternoon	Loss	2–2 vmk → 5 maalia, raja 5,5
		JYP score 3.0 and Lukko 2.9 goals per match. JYP's 23.3% power play faces Lukko's 69.2% penalty kill, and JYP start Setänen.
JYP score 3.0 and Lukko 2.9 goals per match. JYP's 23.3% power play faces Lukko's 69.2% penalty kill, and JYP start Setänen.
Feyenoord – ComoMestarien liiga	Football⚽	Under 3.5 goalsOver/Under 3.5 goals · 1xBetOdds 1.72 · market 57.3% · our estimate 60% · edge +3.2%i	1.72CLV +4.2 %	Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 19:45Wed 14 Oct19:45afternoon	Loss	3–2 → 5 maalia, raja 3,5
		Como have failed to score in their last two matches and key forward Moise Kean is absent; Feyenoord have recorded three consecutive clean sheets.
Como have failed to score in their last two matches and key forward Moise Kean is absent; Feyenoord have recorded three consecutive clean sheets.
Bodø/Glimt – Borussia DortmundMestarien liiga	Football⚽	Over 3.5 goalsOver/Under 3.5 goals · 1xBetOdds 1.97 · market 50.0% · our estimate 56% · edge +10.3%i	1.97CLV −5.3 %	Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 22:00Wed 14 Oct22:00night	Loss	1–0 → 1 maalia, raja 3,5
		Both sides' recent match samples are high-scoring, and players are missing from the defences. Bodø/Glimt's attacking 4–3–3 and Dortmund's away-match risks raise the Over estimate.
Both sides' recent match samples are high-scoring, and players are missing from the defences. Bodø/Glimt's attacking 4–3–3 and Dortmund's away-match risks raise the Over estimate.
ŠK Slovan Bratislava – VfB StuttgartMestarien liiga	Football⚽	Under 3.5 goalsOver/Under 3.5 goals · 1xBetOdds 2.03 · market 48.5% · our estimate 52% · edge +5.6%i	2.03CLV −1.5 %	Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 22:00Wed 14 Oct22:00night	Win	0–3 → 3 maalia, raja 3,5
		The recent-match distribution around the 3.5 line is 11/20 Under, and Stuttgart have kept six clean sheets in 10 matches. The confirmed starting line-ups do not make the estimate Over-oriented.
The recent-match distribution around the 3.5 line is 11/20 Under, and Stuttgart have kept six clean sheets in 10 matches. The confirmed starting line-ups do not make the estimate Over-oriented.
AS Roma – Real MadridMestarien liiga	Football⚽	Over 3.5 goalsOver/Under 3.5 goals · 1xBetOdds 2.15 · market 45.7% · our estimate 48% · edge +3.2%i	2.15CLV ±0.0 %	Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 22:00Wed 14 Oct22:00night	Win	3–4 → 7 maalia, raja 3,5
		Roma's first-choice goalkeeper Svilar is out and Real are missing three defenders; nevertheless, the confirmed starting line-ups include both sides' main attacking threats.
Roma's first-choice goalkeeper Svilar is out and Real are missing three defenders; nevertheless, the confirmed starting line-ups include both sides' main attacking threats.
FC Cincinnati – New England RevolutionMLS	Football⚽	Under 3.5 goalsOver/Under 3.5 goals · 1xBetOdds 2.07 · market 47.2% · our estimate 52% · edge +7.6%i	2.07CLV +4.1 %	Thu, 15 Oct 2026, 02:30Thu 15 Oct02:30night	Loss	2–3 → 5 maalia, raja 3,5
		Only 2 of New England's last 10 matches went Over 3.5 goals, while Evander is out and Campana is doubtful. Cincinnati's weak defence prevents a stronger Under estimate.
Only 2 of New England's last 10 matches went Over 3.5 goals, while Evander is out and Campana is doubtful. Cincinnati's weak defence prevents a stronger Under estimate.
Chicago Fire – Philadelphia UnionMLS	Football⚽	Over 3.5 goalsOver/Under 3.5 goals · CasumoOdds 2.05 · market 47.7% · our estimate 50% · edge +2.5%i	2.05CLV +0.5 %	Thu, 15 Oct 2026, 03:30Thu 15 Oct03:30night	Win	1–3 → 4 maalia, raja 3,5
		Philadelphia have scored 3.1 goals per game across their last 10 matches, and 11/20 of the teams' matches have gone Over 3.5 goals. Chicago's midfield absences increase the risk of an open game.
Philadelphia have scored 3.1 goals per game across their last 10 matches, and 11/20 of the teams' matches have gone Over 3.5 goals. Chicago's midfield absences increase the risk of an open game.
LA Galaxy – Portland TimbersMLS	Football⚽	Over 3.5 goalsOver/Under 3.5 goals · Pinnaclenote: Z. McGraw not in the squadOdds 2.04 · market 48.1% · our estimate 51% · edge +4.0%i	2.04CLV +3.0 %	Thu, 15 Oct 2026, 05:30Thu 15 Oct05:30night	Loss	2–0 → 2 maalia, raja 3,5
		The teams' total-goals averages across their last 10 matches are 3.6 and 3.9. Portland's multiple defensive absences tilt the estimate slightly towards Over, although Galaxy are missing two key attacking players.
The teams' total-goals averages across their last 10 matches are 3.6 and 3.9. Portland's multiple defensive absences tilt the estimate slightly towards Over, although Galaxy are missing two key attacking players.
SpecialsSpecials call an individual player's statistic: points, goals, assists, shots, power-play points or saves in the NHL; points, goals, assists or shots in Liiga; and points, rebounds, assists or threes in the NBA. A pick is published only with a confirmed line-up and voided if the player does not play. Odds are 1.60–2.20 and the reason is always named.
Daniel MäkiahoHIFK – TPS · Liiga	Ice hockey🏒	Daniel Mäkiaho Over 0.5 pointsOver/Under 0.5 points · UnibetOdds 1.76 · market 52.2% · our estimate 63% · edge +10.9%i	1.76CLV ±0.0 %	Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 18:30Wed 14 Oct18:30afternoon	Win	3 pistettä, raja 0,5
		Last 20: 11/20 over 0.5 · TOI 16:33 Mäkiaho has recorded a point in 8/10 recent matches and is confirmed to play on the first line. TPS playing on consecutive days supports the Over, but the opponent conceding 2.3 goals per match tempers the estimate.
Last 20: 11/20 over 0.5 · TOI 16:33 Mäkiaho has recorded a point in 8/10 recent matches and is confirmed to play on the first line. TPS playing on consecutive days supports the Over, but the opponent conceding 2.3 goals per match tempers the estimate.