Tips 2026-09-22

This Tuesday's offering features domestic ice hockey, with an early-evening fixture being played in the Liiga. One intriguing matchup of the Finnish ice hockey season stands out on the day's schedule.

Probables

Probables are favourites whose chance of winning we consider to be at least as high as the market does. They land more often than value bets, but short odds mean that one loss wipes out several wins. The edge in this band is generally around zero or negative, because the odds include the bookmaker's margin – the long-term return is at market level, not above it.

Tappara – Kärpät: Tappara to win incl. overtime and shootout @ 1.47

Statistics. Both have played four matches and won two of them; Tappara have 6 and Kärpät 7 league points. Tappara most recently beat Jokerit 6–0, while Kärpät beat Sport 3–2 after two consecutive defeats. Situation. The starting goaltenders in the published line-up are Tappara's Christian Heljanko and Kärpät's Visa Vedenpää. Neither is in a back-to-back situation, but Kärpät continue their road trip against HIFK as early as Wednesday. Estimate. Tappara: 63.9% · Kärpät: 36.1% Why we are betting. Tappara are justified favourites in their home opener, but the available source material gives no reason to deviate from the market's fair distribution.

Odds 1.47 · market 63.9% · our estimate 64% · edge -6.1%

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