Tips 2026-09-22

The focus in tonight's schedule turns to basketball, with a late-evening and early-morning game being played in the WNBA. The offering is compact, but it includes a matchup where the teams' form and the stakes of the game are emphasised. In the tip history, basketball has so far been a strong sport with a 66.7% strike rate.

Likely

Likely picks are favourites whose chances of winning we consider at least as likely as the market does. They land more often than value bets, but short odds mean that one loss wipes out several wins. The edge in this band is usually around zero or negative, because the odds include the bookmaker's margin – the long-term return is at market level, not above it.

Toronto Tempo – Chicago Sky: Chicago Sky to win @ 1.43

Statistics. Toronto are 11–31 and Chicago 15–27; both have lost their last five games. According to StatMuse, Toronto's offensive/defensive ratings are 85.8/94.3 and Chicago's are 86.4/90.5, making the net figures Toronto −8.5 and Chicago −4.2. Situation. Temi Fagbenle, Marina Mabrey, Brittney Sykes and Aneesah Morrow are absent for Toronto; DiJonai Carrington, Azurá Stevens, Natasha Cloud, Rickea Jackson and Skylar Diggins for Chicago, while Aicha Coulibaly is day-to-day. Toronto last played on 20.9. and Chicago on 19.9., so neither is on a back-to-back; both are already out of the play-offs. Estimate. Toronto Tempo: 32.4% · Chicago Sky: 67.6% Why we are betting. The sources contain no concrete line-up, rest or motivation factor that would justify a deviation from the market's fair distribution. Chicago are the more likely winners, but the odds do not offer a source-based edge.

Odds 1.43 · market 67.7% · our estimate 68% · edge -3.3%

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