Saturday 12 Sep 2026 · 5 picks · 2/4 hit · return 75.8%
Hits
2/4
of all published · 1 voided, stake returned
Return
75.8%
flat-stake singles
Likely
2/3
return 101.0%
Value picks
0/1
return 0.0%
| Match | Sport | Pick | Odds | Kick-off (Helsinki time) | Status | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LikelyOdds 1.30–1.75 · hit more often than value picks, but at short odds one loss wipes out several wins. Edge here is usually near zero or negative – no value edge, nothing is certain. | ||||||
| Sunderland – ArsenalEnglannin Valioliiga | Football⚽ | Arsenal to winMatch winner (1X2) · SportingbetOdds 1.49 · market 63.8% · our estimate 64% · edge -4.9%i | 1.49CLV −2.4 % | Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 22:00Sat 12 Sept22:00afternoon | Win | 0–2 (Arsenal won) |
Arsenal have started the league season with three wins, but Sunderland's home setting, absences in Arsenal's defence and both sides' midweek workload provide no reason to exceed the market estimate. | ||||||
Arsenal have started the league season with three wins, but Sunderland's home setting, absences in Arsenal's defence and both sides' midweek workload provide no reason to exceed the market estimate. | ||||||
| Los Angeles Dodgers – Miami MarlinsMLB | Baseball⚾ | Los Angeles Dodgers to winMatch winner · FanDuelOdds 1.51 · market 63.6% · our estimate 64% · edge -4.0%i | 1.51CLV −5.5 % | Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 23:10Sat 12 Sept23:10afternoon | Loss | 3–4 (Miami Marlins won) |
The Dodgers are statistically stronger and the Glasnow–Phillips starting-pitcher matchup favours Los Angeles, but Ohtani's absence is already known to the current market. The estimate remains at the market anchor. | ||||||
The Dodgers are statistically stronger and the Glasnow–Phillips starting-pitcher matchup favours Los Angeles, but Ohtani's absence is already known to the current market. The estimate remains at the market anchor. | ||||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Cincinnati BengalsNFL | American football🏈 | Cincinnati Bengals to winMatch winner · Marathon BetOdds 1.54 · market 64.5% · our estimate 64% · edge -0.8%i | 1.54CLV −1.3 % | Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 20:00Sun 13 Sept20:00afternoon | Win | Cincinnati Bengals won 33–27. |
Cincinnati are home favourites and Burrow-led passing offence faces Tampa Bay's pass defence, which ranked 27th last season. However, the estimate does not deviate from the market. | ||||||
Cincinnati are home favourites and Burrow-led passing offence faces Tampa Bay's pass defence, which ranked 27th last season. However, the estimate does not deviate from the market. | ||||||
Value picksOur estimate beats the market | ||||||
| Dynamo Moskova – Dinamo MinskKHL | Ice hockey🏒 | Dynamo Moskova to win in regulation timeMatch result in regulation time (1X2) · FonbetOdds 2.20 · market 43.3% · our estimate 46% · edge +1.2%i | 2.20 | Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 17:00Sat 12 Sept17:00afternoon | Void | sarja rajattu pois |
According to the preview, Minsk are missing three players and have one fewer rest day. Moskova's poor early-season finishing and the neutral venue limit the uplift to a small one. | ||||||
According to the preview, Minsk are missing three players and have one fewer rest day. Moskova's poor early-season finishing and the neutral venue limit the uplift to a small one. | ||||||
| Tottenham – EvertonEnglannin Valioliiga | Football⚽ | Tottenham to winMatch winner (1X2) · 1xBetOdds 2.10 · market 46.7% · our estimate 48% · edge +1.2%i | 2.10CLV −0.5 % | Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 19:30Sat 12 Sept19:30afternoon | Loss | 0–0 (Draw) |
Opta's simulation estimates Tottenham's win probability at 48.2%. Everton have won only one of their last 17 league visits to Tottenham. | ||||||
Opta's simulation estimates Tottenham's win probability at 48.2%. Everton have won only one of their last 17 league visits to Tottenham. | ||||||
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