Saturday 12 Sep 2026 · 5 picks · 2/4 hit · return 75.8%

Hits

2/4

of all published · 1 voided, stake returned

Return

75.8%

flat-stake singles

Likely

2/3

return 101.0%

Value picks

0/1

return 0.0%

MatchSportPickOddsKick-off (Helsinki time)StatusResult
LikelyOdds 1.30–1.75 · hit more often than value picks, but at short odds one loss wipes out several wins. Edge here is usually near zero or negative – no value edge, nothing is certain.
Sunderland – ArsenalEnglannin ValioliigaFootballArsenal to winMatch winner (1X2) · SportingbetOdds 1.49 · market 63.8% · our estimate 64% · edge -4.9%i1.49CLV −2.4 %Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 22:00afternoonWin0–2 (Arsenal won)

Arsenal have started the league season with three wins, but Sunderland's home setting, absences in Arsenal's defence and both sides' midweek workload provide no reason to exceed the market estimate.

Los Angeles Dodgers – Miami MarlinsMLBBaseballLos Angeles Dodgers to winMatch winner · FanDuelOdds 1.51 · market 63.6% · our estimate 64% · edge -4.0%i1.51CLV −5.5 %Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 23:10afternoonLoss3–4 (Miami Marlins won)

The Dodgers are statistically stronger and the Glasnow–Phillips starting-pitcher matchup favours Los Angeles, but Ohtani's absence is already known to the current market. The estimate remains at the market anchor.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Cincinnati BengalsNFLAmerican footballCincinnati Bengals to winMatch winner · Marathon BetOdds 1.54 · market 64.5% · our estimate 64% · edge -0.8%i1.54CLV −1.3 %Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 20:00afternoonWinCincinnati Bengals won 33–27.

Cincinnati are home favourites and Burrow-led passing offence faces Tampa Bay's pass defence, which ranked 27th last season. However, the estimate does not deviate from the market.

Value picksOur estimate beats the market
Dynamo Moskova – Dinamo MinskKHLIce hockeyDynamo Moskova to win in regulation timeMatch result in regulation time (1X2) · FonbetOdds 2.20 · market 43.3% · our estimate 46% · edge +1.2%i2.20Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 17:00afternoonVoidsarja rajattu pois

According to the preview, Minsk are missing three players and have one fewer rest day. Moskova's poor early-season finishing and the neutral venue limit the uplift to a small one.

Tottenham – EvertonEnglannin ValioliigaFootballTottenham to winMatch winner (1X2) · 1xBetOdds 2.10 · market 46.7% · our estimate 48% · edge +1.2%i2.10CLV −0.5 %Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 19:30afternoonLoss0–0 (Draw)

Opta's simulation estimates Tottenham's win probability at 48.2%. Everton have won only one of their last 17 league visits to Tottenham.