Wednesday 30 Sep 2026 · 7 picks · 5/7 hit · return 128.3%

Hits

5/7

of all published

Return

128.3%

flat-stake singles

Sorceress's pick

1/1

return 295.0%

Likely

4/6

return 100.5%

Match	Sport	Pick	Odds	Kick-off (Helsinki time)	Status	Result
LikelyOdds 1.30–1.75 · hit more often than value picks, but at short odds one loss wipes out several wins. Edge here is usually near zero or negative – no value edge, nothing is certain.
BK Decin – Basket BrnoTšekin NBL	Basketball🏀	BK Decin to winMatch winner (1X2) · TonybetOdds 1.47 · market 61.9% · our estimate 64% · edge -5.9%i	1.47	Wed, 30 Sept 2026, 19:00Wed 30 Sept19:00morning	Win	86–78 (BK Děčín won).
		Děčín have started 2–1 and, according to the preview, will have their full squad available, while 0–3 starters Brno are suffering from health issues. However, the estimate remains below the level required by odds of 1.47.
Děčín have started 2–1 and, according to the preview, will have their full squad available, while 0–3 starters Brno are suffering from health issues. However, the estimate remains below the level required by odds of 1.47.
Paris FC – ArsenalUEFA Women's Champions League	Football⚽	Arsenal to winMatch winner (1X2) · StakeOdds 1.42 · market 65.6% · our estimate 66% · edge -6.9%i	1.42	Wed, 30 Sept 2026, 19:45Wed 30 Sept19:45afternoon	Loss	2–2 (Draw in regulation time).
		Arsenal are clear favourites based on their strong European record, but a sluggish start to the season and several absences prevent the market estimate from being raised. The estimate is kept at a fair 65.6%.
Arsenal are clear favourites based on their strong European record, but a sluggish start to the season and several absences prevent the market estimate from being raised. The estimate is kept at a fair 65.6%.
Maccabi Tel Aviv – BeşiktaşEuroLeague	Basketball🏀	Maccabi Tel Aviv to winMatch winner · BetVictorOdds 1.50 · market 62.0% · our estimate 62% · edge -7.0%i	1.50CLV +2.0 %	Wed, 30 Sept 2026, 21:05Wed 30 Sept21:05afternoon	Loss	93–109 (Beşiktaş won).
		Maccabi are justified market favourites, but the one-round sample and Beşiktaş's injury situation do not provide sufficient source-based reason to raise the estimate above the market anchor of 62%.
Maccabi are justified market favourites, but the one-round sample and Beşiktaş's injury situation do not provide sufficient source-based reason to raise the estimate above the market anchor of 62%.
Tallon Griekspoor – Andrey RublevATP 500 Beijing	Tennis🎾	Andrey Rublev to winMatch winner · StakeOdds 1.53 · market 61.6% · our estimate 62% · edge -5.0%i	1.53	Thu, 1 Oct 2026, 05:00Thu 1 Oct05:00afternoon	Win	Andrey Rublev won 2–1 (6–4, 5–7, 7–6(8–6)).
		Rublev's hard-court profile and recent place in the Hangzhou final support his status as favourite, but do not provide a source-based reason to deviate from the market's 62.1%.
Rublev's hard-court profile and recent place in the Hangzhou final support his status as favourite, but do not provide a source-based reason to deviate from the market's 62.1%.
Indianapolis Colts – Washington CommandersNFL	American football🏈	Indianapolis Colts to winMatch winner (1X2)Odds 1.52 · market 63.2% · our estimate 63% · edge -3.9%i	1.52CLV +4.1 %	Sun, 4 Oct 2026, 16:30Sun 4 Oct16:30night	Win	30–13 (Indianapolis Colts voitti)
		The Colts are justified favourites, but Washington's QB situation remains open and the teams' early-season figures are close to each other. The estimate is kept at the market's fair 63.2 percent.
The Colts are justified favourites, but Washington's QB situation remains open and the teams' early-season figures are close to each other. The estimate is kept at the market's fair 63.2 percent.
Green Bay Packers – Tampa Bay BuccaneersNFL	American football🏈	Green Bay Packers to winMatch winner (1X2)Odds 1.51 · market 63.4% · our estimate 63% · edge -4.3%i	1.51CLV −9.6 %	Sun, 4 Oct 2026, 20:00Sun 4 Oct20:00night	Win	17–14 (Green Bay Packers voitti)
		Green Bay face Tampa, who have started 0–3 and are confirmed to be relying on rookie quarterback Jalon Daniels. However, the odds market already appears to account for Mayfield's absence.
Green Bay face Tampa, who have started 0–3 and are confirmed to be relying on rookie quarterback Jalon Daniels. However, the odds market already appears to account for Mayfield's absence.
Sorceress's pickAdded at the administrator's discretion after the model rejected or did not propose it. Tracked separately.
Tappara-KookooSM-liiga	Ice hockey🏒	Joachim Blichfeld TapparaPlayer to score over 1.5 points · UnibetNo model estimate for this market	2.95	Wed, 30 Sept 2026, 18:30Wed 30 Sept18:30morning	Win	Tappara won 3–0. Joachim Blichfeld recorded two assists (for Tappara's 2–0 and 3–0 goals), so he scored 2 points and cleared the 1.5-point line.
		Benjamin Rautiainen surprisingly returns to the line-up after a successful training camp with Tampa Bay. This gives Blichfeld quite a boost on the first line, as the familiar partnership is back together. They also face Kookoo, who are near the bottom of the league, where Jouko Myrrä's coaching job is on the line.
Benjamin Rautiainen surprisingly returns to the line-up after a successful training camp with Tampa Bay. This gives Blichfeld quite a boost on the first line, as the familiar partnership is back together. They also face Kookoo, who are near the bottom of the league, where Jouko Myrrä's coaching job is on the line.