Friday 30 Oct 2026 · 19 picks · 12/19 hit · return 107.1%

Settled 19/20 · hits 12/19 · return 107.1%

This day is still filling in: settled picks are added after each settlement run. Picks that have not started are for subscribers.

MatchSportPickOddsKick-off (your time)StatusResult
LikelyOdds 1.30–1.75 · hit more often than value picks, but at short odds one loss wipes out several wins. Edge here is usually near zero or negative – no value edge, nothing is certain.
Torku Konyaspor – GalatasaraySüper LigFootballGalatasaray to winMatch winner (1X2) · Pinnaclenote: A. Demirbağ not in the squadOdds 1.55 · market 62.5% · our estimate 62% · edge -3.2%i1.55↑ 1.58CLV −1.2 ppmorningWin0–4 (Galatasaray voitti)

Galatasaray lead the league and produce clearly more shots, but Konyaspor's home defence, Bardakçı's suspension and the upcoming Champions League match limit the favourite's advantage.

Bodø/Glimt – Viking FKEliteserienFootballBodø/Glimt to winMatch winner (1X2) · CoolbetOdds 1.66 · market 58.0% · our estimate 58% · edge -3.8%i1.66↓ 1.50CLV +6.4 ppmorningWin3–2 (Bodo/Glimt voitti)

Bodø/Glimt are home favourites, but Viking lead the league and have been strong in terms of results. The sources provide no basis to raise the home-win probability above the market's 57.9%.

ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne – Saski BaskoniaEuroLeagueBasketballASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne to winEstimate ≥ marketMatch winner · LiveScore BetOdds 1.60 · market 59.3% · our estimate 59% · edge -5.1%i1.60↓ 1.55CLV +2.0 ppmorningWin94–79 (ASVEL voitti)

ASVEL are justified favourites at home, but a weak defence and shorter rest prevent raising the estimate above the market's 59.3%.

Virtus Segafredo Bologna – Beşiktaş J.K.EuroLeagueBasketballVirtus Segafredo Bologna to winMatch winner · MarathonbetOdds 1.48 · market 64.7% · our estimate 65% · edge -4.2%i1.48↑ 1.56CLV −3.5 ppmorningLoss101–103 (Beşiktaş voitti)

Virtus are home favourites, but both defences have conceded more than 87 points per match. Beşiktaş's doubtful key players alone are not enough to deviate from the market estimate.

FC Barcelona Bàsquet – Valencia BasketEuroLeagueBasketballFC Barcelona Bàsquet to winEstimate ≥ marketMatch winner · 888Odds 1.70 · market 55.8% · our estimate 56% · edge -5.1%i1.70↓ 1.69CLV +0.4 ppmorningWin98–94 (Barcelona voitti)

Barça are narrow home favourites, but Valencia have started 6–2 and scored more points. Taking both sides' absences into account, the estimate remains at the market's fair 55.8%.

TPS – PelicansLiigaIce hockeyTPS to winEstimate ≥ marketMatch winner · incl. OT & shootout · NordicBetOdds 1.72 · market 55.8% · our estimate 56% · edge -4.0%i1.72afternoonWin2–1 (TPS voitti)

TPS's power play has been clearly more effective than Pelicans', but Pelicans' defence in recent matches and Bartosak's goaltending advantage balance the setup. The market's 55.8% is justified.

Kiekko-Vantaa – RoKiMestisIce hockeyKiekko-Vantaa to winMatch winner · incl. OT & shootout · NordicBetOdds 1.66 · market 56.2% · our estimate 56% · edge -6.7%i1.66↑ 1.83CLV −5.6 ppafternoonLoss2–3 VL (RoKi voitti)

Kiekko-Vantaa have won three of their last five matches, but are playing on consecutive evenings against a rested RoKi. The overall picture provides no reason to deviate from the market's fair estimate.

JoKP – HermesMestisIce hockeyJoKP to winMatch winner · incl. OT & shootout · PinnacleOdds 1.51 · market 61.6% · our estimate 62% · edge -7.0%i1.51→ 1.51CLV 0.0 ppafternoonWin6–0 (JoKP voitti)

JoKP's goal difference over their last five matches is 18–12, and at home the team have been stronger than Hermes' away record. However, there is still no source-based reason to deviate from the market estimate.

Racing Club – Aldosivi Mar del PlataArgentiinan PrimeraFootballRacing Club to winMatch winner (1X2) · Unibet (SE)note: M. Di Cesare, A. Forneris not in the squadOdds 1.68 · market 55.6% · our estimate 56% · edge -6.6%i1.68↑ 1.78CLV −3.3 ppafternoonWin2–1 (Racing Club voitti)

Racing are home favourites due to Aldosivi's poor away record, but Racing's own form and both teams' absences support the market's 55.6% estimate without any further increase.

Florida Panthers – Winnipeg JetsNHLIce hockeyFlorida Panthers to winMatch winner · incl. OT & shootout · PinnacleOdds 1.45 · market 67.1% · our estimate 67% · edge -2.7%i1.45↑ 1.48CLV −1.4 ppnightWin5–2 (Florida Panthers voitti)

Florida are more rested and Winnipeg are playing on consecutive nights amid a seven-game winless streak. However, there is still no reason to deviate from the market's fair estimate of 67.1%.

Toronto Raptors – Orlando MagicNBABasketballToronto Raptors to winEstimate ≥ marketMatch winner · Sky BetOdds 1.50 · market 63.7% · our estimate 64% · edge -4.5%i1.50→ 1.50CLV 0.0 ppnightLoss114–121 (Orlando Magic voitti)

Toronto are justified favourites, but Leonard's absence and Orlando's key absences, which the market has already accounted for, provide no evidence-based reason to deviate from the fair market estimate of 63.7%.

Dallas Mavericks – Houston RocketsNBABasketballHouston Rockets to winMatch winner · Unibet (SE)Odds 1.48 · market 64.6% · our estimate 65% · edge -4.4%i1.48↑ 1.52CLV −1.8 ppnightLoss116–111 (Dallas Mavericks voitti)

Houston have made the stronger start and won the first head-to-head meeting of the season 128–110. However, both teams playing on consecutive days and Houston's open player statuses still support retaining the market estimate.

Golden State Warriors – Los Angeles LakersNBABasketballLos Angeles Lakers to winEstimate ≥ marketMatch winner · UnibetOdds 1.70 · market 57.0% · our estimate 57% · edge -3.1%i1.70↑ 1.71CLV −0.3 ppnightLoss112–95 (Golden State Warriors voitti)

The Lakers' five-game points differential and the Warriors' significant absences support the away favourites, but the information is available to the market and the estimate is kept at the fair 57%.

Phoenix Suns – Denver NuggetsNBABasketballDenver Nuggets to winEstimate ≥ marketMatch winner · WinamaxOdds 1.60 · market 60.5% · our estimate 61% · edge -3.2%i1.60↓ 1.58CLV +0.8 ppnightWin120–127 (Denver Nuggets voitti)

Denver's 10-game points differential is stronger than Phoenix's, and the star duo of Jokić–Murray is absent from the injury list. However, Phoenix have a rest advantage, so we do not deviate from the market estimate.

Totals & spreadsOver/under picks call the match's total goals or points, not the winner. Odds are 1.70–2.20 and the reason is always named: pace, goaltending, absences or conditions. In ice hockey, goal totals are settled including overtime and the shootout; the shootout counts as one goal. In football only regulation time. Spread picks call the winning margin: Lakers −4.5 wins if the Lakers win by five or more.
Anadolu Efes – PanathinaikosEuroLeagueBasketballPanathinaikos −6.5 pointsHandicap −6.5 · MarathonbetOdds 1.98 · market 49.1% · our estimate 55% · edge +8.9%i1.98line movedmorningLoss83–68 → marginaali -15, linja −6,5

Panathinaikos's points differential over eight matches is +12.6 per match, Efes's is −4.9. Efes are without three backcourt and wing players, which supports the away favourites.

Metz – Pau FCLigue 2FootballOver 2.5 goalsOver/Under 2.5 goals · PinnacleOdds 1.93 · market 50.9% · our estimate 53% · edge +2.3%i1.93↑ 1.96CLV −0.8 ppmorningWin1–3 → 4 maalia, raja 2,5

Both sides have a total-goals average of at least 2.7 across 10 matches, and the line was exceeded in three of each side's last five matches. Metz's defensive absences provide slight support for the Over.

Kiekko-Vantaa – RoKiMestisIce hockeyUnder 5.5 goalsOver/Under 5.5 goals · incl. OT & shootout · Virgin BetOdds 2.08 · market 46.8% · our estimate 51% · edge +6.1%i2.08→ 2.08CLV 0.0 ppafternoonWin2–2 vmk → 5 maalia, raja 5,5

K-Vantaa's last five matches have averaged 5.0 goals, and the confirmed goaltenders and low-scoring head-to-head meetings provide slight support for the Under.

Grazer AK – TSV HartbergItävallan BundesliigaFootballOver 2.5 goalsOver/Under 2.5 goals · Pinnaclenote: B. Owusu, J. Italiano not in the squadOdds 1.86 · market 52.4% · our estimate 55% · edge +2.3%i1.86↓ 1.85CLV +0.3 ppafternoonWin0–4 → 4 maalia, raja 2,5

In Hartberg's 10-match sample, 8/10 went Over 2.5 goals, and GAK are without two defenders. Hartberg's 120 cup minutes temper the estimate slightly.

SpecialsSpecials call an individual player's statistic: points, goals, assists, shots, power-play points or saves in the NHL; points, goals, assists or shots in Liiga; points, rebounds, assists or threes in the NBA; and shots and shots on target in football. Hockey and basketball picks are published with a confirmed line-up; a football pick may be published before the line-up is announced and is voided under the bookmaker's rule if the player does not start. Odds are 1.60–2.20 and the reason is always named.
Tony SundTappara – Ilves · LiigaIce hockeyTony Sund Over 0.5 pointsPoints Over/Under 0.5 · UnibetOdds 1.98 · market 46.5% · our estimate 57% · edge +12.9%i1.98↓ 1.94CLV +1.0 ppafternoonLoss0 pistettä, raja 0,5

Last 18: 10/18 over 0.5 · TOI 17:51

Sund has recorded a point in 6/10 recent matches, and his ice time over the last five matches has risen to 19:08. His confirmed place in Ilves' second line keeps the estimate at 57%.

Jordan EberleCalgary Flames – Seattle Kraken · NHLIce hockeyJordan Eberle Over 0.5 pointsPoints Over/Under 0.5 · PinnacleOdds 1.79 · market 52.8% · our estimate 64% · edge +14.6%i1.79→ 1.79CLV 0.0 ppnightSettlement pending–

Last 20: 12/20 over 0.5 · TOI 17:04

Eberle is in the projected first line and on PP1. Calgary have conceded 3.5 goals per game over their last 10 matches, and confirmed starter Dustin Wolf has started the season with an 83.9% save percentage.

Past results are no guarantee of future results.