Sunday 1 Nov 2026 · 25 picks · 15/25 hit · return 105.0%

Hits

15/25

of all published

Return

105.0%

flat-stake singles

Totals & spreads

6/8

return 148.0%

Likely

9/15

return 96.1%

Value picks

0/1

return 0.0%

Specials

0/1

return 0.0%

MatchSportPickOddsKick-off (your time)StatusResult
LikelyOdds 1.30–1.75 · hit more often than value picks, but at short odds one loss wipes out several wins. Edge here is usually near zero or negative – no value edge, nothing is certain.
Falkirk F.C. – CelticScottish PremiershipFootballCeltic to winMatch winner (1X2) · Coralnote: A. Doherty, Joseph Charles Gardner, K. Adams, Yang Hyun-Jun not in the squadOdds 1.53 · market 62.1% · our estimate 62% · edge -5.0%i1.53↓ 1.47CLV +2.7 ppmorningLoss2–0 (Falkirk voitti)

Celtic lead the league and have won all five of their league away matches, but Falkirk's strong form and Celtic's congested schedule keep the estimate at market level.

Lazio – CagliariSerie AFootballLazio to winEstimate ≥ marketMatch winner (1X2) · Betfred (UK)note: M. Felici not in the squadOdds 1.50 · market 63.4% · our estimate 63% · edge -4.9%i1.50↓ 1.48CLV +0.9 ppmorningWin2–1 (Lazio voitti)

Lazio's 10-match average goals figures are clearly better than Cagliari's, but four absences limit confidence. The estimate is kept at the market's fair 63.4%.

Sarpsborg FK – Kristiansund BKEliteserienFootballSarpsborg FK to winMatch winner (1X2) · Coolbetnote: D. Karlsbakk, M. Opoku, D. Ulvestad, L. Alvheim, W. Igor not in the squadOdds 1.51 · market 64.3% · our estimate 64% · edge -3.0%i1.51↓ 1.50CLV +0.4 ppmorningLoss2–4 (Kristiansund BK voitti)

Sarpsborg are clear home favourites due to Kristiansund's poor defensive form and significant absences, but the home side are also without an important forward. The estimate matches the market.

Charleroi – RAAL La LouvièrePro League (BEL)FootballCharleroi to winMatch winner (1X2) · PinnacleOdds 1.54 · market 62.7% · our estimate 63% · edge -3.4%i1.54↑ 1.62CLV −3.2 ppmorningWin5–2 (Charleroi voitti)

Charleroi are 4th in the league and RAAL 15th, but a match played behind closed doors weakens the usual home advantage. The estimate is kept within the market's fair distribution.

Lanus – Gimnasia MendozaArgentiinan PrimeraFootballLanus to winMatch winner (1X2) · Unibet (SE)note: C. Izquierdoz, F. Saavedra not in the squadOdds 1.55 · market 60.6% · our estimate 61% · edge -6.2%i1.55↓ 1.50CLV +2.2 ppmorningLoss1–1 (tasapeli)

Lanus have been more consistent in recent rounds, but recent team reports are partly conflicting. The estimate is therefore kept at the market's fair 60.5%.

Arouca – NacionalPrimeira LigaFootballArouca to winEstimate ≥ marketMatch winner (1X2) · Virgin BetOdds 1.63 · market 57.6% · our estimate 59% · edge -3.8%i1.63↓ 1.62CLV +0.4 ppafternoonWin1–0 (Arouca voitti)

Arouca have conceded 1.0 goals per match across their last 10 matches, while Nacional's respective figure is 1.9. Nacional are without five players, three of them from the defensive unit.

Kasimpasa SK – Besiktas JKSüper LigFootballBesiktas JK to winMatch winner (1X2) · Pinnaclenote: K. Çörekçi, G. Frimpong, M. Ben Ouanes, O. Kökçü, F. Miretti not in the squadOdds 1.59 · market 60.7% · our estimate 61% · edge -3.4%i1.59→ 1.59CLV 0.0 ppafternoonLoss2–2 (tasapeli)

Beşiktaş are justified favourites due to better attacking form and longer rest, but their poor away record and Kasımpaşa's strong start to the season prevent the market estimate from being raised.

Austria Wien – Rapid WienItävallan BundesliigaFootballRapid Wien to winMatch winner (1X2) · PinnacleOdds 1.68 · market 57.5% · our estimate 57% · edge -3.4%i1.68→ 1.68CLV 0.0 ppafternoonWin0–2 (Rapid Vienna voitti)

Rapid are the most likely winners due to their strong form and league position, but the derby history and Austria's home advantage provide no reason to exceed the market's fair estimate of 57.5%.

Eintracht Frankfurt – Hamburger SVBundesliigaFootballEintracht Frankfurt to winEstimate ≥ marketMatch winner (1X2) · Marathonbetnote: N. Remberg, Fábio Vieira, Y. Poulsen, N. Capaldo, B. Nadir, S. Bornauw not in the squadOdds 1.56 · market 62.1% · our estimate 64% · edge -0.9%i1.56↓ 1.52CLV +1.7 ppafternoonWin3–1 (Eintracht Frankfurt voitti)

HSV's thin squad, poor attacking output and three defeats from four league away matches shift the estimate slightly towards Frankfurt.

Palermo – VicenzaSerie BFootballPalermo to winMatch winner (1X2) · Codere (IT)note: M. Bani, N. Pierozzi not in the squadOdds 1.54 · market 61.5% · our estimate 62% · edge -5.2%i1.54↓ 1.49CLV +2.2 ppafternoonWin3–1 (Palermo voitti)

Palermo's attacking form and Vicenza's defensive difficulties in recent matches support the home favourites, but Palermo's absences prevent the estimate from being raised above the market.

Vancouver Whitecaps FC – Seattle Sounders FCMLSFootballVancouver Whitecaps FC to winMatch winner (1X2) · PinnacleOdds 1.74 · market 55.3% · our estimate 55% · edge -3.8%i1.74↑ 1.85CLV −3.4 ppnightWin5–1 (Vancouver Whitecaps voitti)

Vancouver are clearly ahead in the league table and can secure top spot in the West with a home win. Absences affect both sides, so the estimate is kept at the market's fair 55.3%.

Nashville SC – New York Red BullsMLSFootballNashville SC to winMatch winner (1X2) · LeoVegas (SE)note: J. Che, R. Donkor, D. Nealis not in the squadOdds 1.50 · market 64.3% · our estimate 66% · edge -1.8%i1.50↓ 1.46CLV +1.8 ppnightWin3–2 (Nashville SC voitti)

Nashville have been unbeaten at home, and three players are missing from New York's defence. However, odds of 1.50 do not offer genuine value on our estimate.

Indiana Pacers – Brooklyn NetsNBABasketballIndiana Pacers to winEstimate ≥ marketMatch winner · William HillOdds 1.62 · market 58.7% · our estimate 59% · edge -4.9%i1.62↑ 1.66CLV −1.5 ppnightLoss90–98 (Brooklyn Nets voitti)

Indiana are favourites at home and won the teams' previous meeting by 27 points, but significant absences and a consecutive game day keep the estimate at market level.

Los Angeles FC – Minnesota United FCMLSFootballLos Angeles FC to winEstimate ≥ marketMatch winner (1X2) · LeoVegas (SE)Odds 1.68 · market 57.5% · our estimate 57% · edge -3.5%i1.68↑ 1.76CLV −2.7 ppnightLoss1–3 (Minnesota United FC voitti)

LAFC are clear home favourites, but the market's fair estimate of 57.4% already accounts for the home advantage and the difference in quality between the teams. Minnesota are dangerous in attack, so the estimate is not raised above the market.

Los Angeles Lakers – Toronto RaptorsNBABasketballLos Angeles Lakers to winMatch winner · WinamaxOdds 1.72 · market 56.1% · our estimate 56% · edge -3.5%i1.72↓ 1.65CLV +2.5 ppnightWin131–125 (Los Angeles Lakers voitti)

The Lakers are home favourites and Toronto are playing without Kawhi Leonard, but the Raptors' early-season defensive figures are strong. The estimate remains at the market's fair 56.1%.

Value picksOur estimate beats the market
KFUM – HamKamEliteserienFootballKFUM to winMatch winner (1X2) · Pinnaclenote: P. Meliga, M. Johnsgård, M. Ofkir not in the squadBlind estimate 52% · market 44.9% · edge +12.3%i2.16↓ 2.02CLV +3.2 ppafternoonLoss2–2 (tasapeli)

Why we think the market is wrong: KFUM's recent results and defensive record are more solid than HamKam's, and the home side have three more full rest days.

KFUM's recent results and defensive record are more solid than HamKam's, and the home side have three more full rest days. KFUM's broader squad concerns temper the estimate.

Totals & spreadsOver/under picks call the match's total goals or points, not the winner. Odds are 1.70–2.20 and the reason is always named: pace, goaltending, absences or conditions. In ice hockey, goal totals are settled including overtime and the shootout; the shootout counts as one goal. In football only regulation time. Spread picks call the winning margin: Lakers −4.5 wins if the Lakers win by five or more.
Sarpsborg FK – Kristiansund BKEliteserienFootballOver 3.5 goalsOver/Under 3.5 goals · LeoVegas (SE)note: D. Karlsbakk, M. Opoku, D. Ulvestad, L. Alvheim, W. Igor not in the squadOdds 2.12 · market 46.7% · our estimate 49% · edge +2.8%i2.12↓ 2.05CLV +1.6 ppmorningWin2–4 → 6 maalia, raja 3,5

Kristiansund's matches have averaged 4.0 goals and the team are missing two defenders. However, Sarpsborg's first-choice striker's absence tempers the Over estimate.

Liverpool – ArsenalValioliigaFootballUnder 2.5 goalsOver/Under 2.5 goals · Pinnaclenote: J. Frimpong, B. Saka, W. Saliba not in the squadOdds 1.99 · market 49.5% · our estimate 52% · edge +2.5%i1.99↑ 2.10CLV −2.6 ppmorningWin0–1 → 1 maalia, raja 2,5

Saka's and Ekitike's absences weaken the sharpness of the attacks. Saliba's absence balances the effect, so the estimate only leans marginally Under 2.5 goals.

Braga – FamalicãoPrimeira LigaFootballOver 2.5 goalsOver/Under 2.5 goals · Grosvenornote: Gabriel Silva, M. Mattara not in the squadOdds 2.16 · market 45.9% · our estimate 49% · edge +5.8%i2.16↓ 2.03CLV +3.0 ppmorningWin3–0 → 3 maalia, raja 2,5

Both have gone Over 2.5 goals in 6/10 of their last matches, and Thursday's head-to-head ended 2–2. The goals in Famalicão's five league away matches are 11–4.

Avellino – PisaSerie BFootballOver 2.5 goalsOver/Under 2.5 goals · Casumonote: D. Fila not in the squadOdds 2.06 · market 47.3% · our estimate 51% · edge +5.1%i2.06↓ 2.04CLV +0.5 ppafternoonLoss2–0 → 2 maalia, raja 2,5

Pisa's goal figures across 10 matches are 1.8–1.7 per match, and Over 2.5 has landed 8/10 times. The congested fixture schedule and defensive absences raise the over estimate moderately.

Groningen – Sparta RotterdamEredivisieFootballOver 3.5 goalsOver/Under 3.5 goals · Coolbetnote: M. Jeng not in the squadOdds 2.06 · market 46.1% · our estimate 52% · edge +7.1%i2.06→ 2.06CLV 0.0 ppafternoonWin2–3 → 5 maalia, raja 3,5

15 of the teams' last 20 matches went Over 3.5 goals. Groningen are without two defenders and a third is doubtful, although Sparta forward Mito is sidelined.

Philadelphia Flyers – Utah MammothNHLIce hockeyOver 5.5 goalsOver/Under 5.5 goals · incl. OT & shootout · MarathonbetOdds 1.75 · market 54.8% · our estimate 59% · edge +3.3%i1.75→ 1.75CLV 0.0 ppnightWin6–3 → 9 maalia, raja 5,5

Utah's average goals total over their last 10 matches is 7.2 and the team's penalty kill is only 67.4%. Vladar starts with an 88.8% save percentage, while Konecny and Tippett return to the Flyers' projected line-up.

New York Rangers – Edmonton OilersNHLIce hockeyOver 6.5 goalsOver/Under 6.5 goals · incl. OT & shootout · William HillOdds 1.91 · market 51.0% · our estimate 54% · edge +3.1%i1.91↓ 1.89CLV +0.6 ppnightLoss1–4 → 5 maalia, raja 6,5

Edmonton start on consecutive days with Matt Tomkins, who is playing his first NHL match since April 2024. Shesterkin and Korpisalo are out for the Rangers.

Anaheim Ducks – Ottawa SenatorsNHLIce hockeyOver 6.5 goalsOver/Under 6.5 goals · incl. OT & shootout · PinnacleOdds 1.76 · market 55.1% · our estimate 58% · edge +2.1%i1.76↑ 1.78CLV −0.6 ppnightWin6–3 → 9 maalia, raja 6,5

Anaheim's last 10 matches have produced 7.4 goals and Ottawa's 6.8 per game. The Senators are also on a back-to-back, and their projected starter Johansson has saved only 86.1%.

SpecialsSpecials call an individual player's statistic: points, goals, assists, shots, power-play points or saves in the NHL; points, goals, assists or shots in Liiga; points, rebounds, assists or threes in the NBA; and shots and shots on target in football. Hockey and basketball picks are published with a confirmed line-up; a football pick may be published before the line-up is announced and is voided under the bookmaker's rule if the player does not start. Odds are 1.60–2.20 and the reason is always named.
Gonçalo GuedesAthletic Bilbao – Real Sociedad · La LigaFootballGonçalo Guedes Over 0.5 shots on targetShots on target Over/Under 0.5 · UnibetOdds 1.95 · market 51.3% · our estimate 56% · edge +9.2%i1.95↑ 1.98CLV −0.8 ppmorningLoss0 laukausta maalia kohti, raja 0,5 · 89 min

Last 9: 5/9 over 0.5 · 67 min

Guedes has gone over the line in 5/9 matches. His predicted attacking role and Athletic's increased SOT allowance in recent matches support the Over selection, but the estimate is kept at the empirical 56%.

Past results are no guarantee of future results.