Monday 2 Nov 2026 · 25 picks · 17/25 hit · return 120.8%

Hits

17/25

of all published

Return

120.8%

flat-stake singles

Value picks

1/1

return 200.0%

Specials

4/4

return 180.0%

Likely

7/11

return 98.0%

Totals & spreads

5/9

return 113.7%

MatchSportPickOddsKick-off (your time)StatusResult
LikelyOdds 1.30–1.75 · hit more often than value picks, but at short odds one loss wipes out several wins. Edge here is usually near zero or negative – no value edge, nothing is certain.
SonderjyskE – FC CopenhagenSuperliga (DEN)FootballFC Copenhagen to winMatch winner (1X2) · PinnacleOdds 1.49 · market 64.9% · our estimate 65% · edge -3.4%i1.49↓ 1.44CLV +2.3 ppmorningWin0–2 (FC Copenhagen voitti)

FCK's defensive and results record supports the away favourites, but short rest, a third match in eight days and an upcoming European match limit the estimate. We consider the market's 64.9% estimate balanced.

Atalanta BC – ParmaSerie AFootballAtalanta BC to winMatch winner (1X2) · Unibet (SE)Odds 1.54 · market 63.3% · our estimate 63% · edge -2.5%i1.54↓ 1.43CLV +5.0 ppmorningLoss0–3 (Parma voitti)

Parma have scored only 0.5 goals per match in their last ten, but Atalanta's nine absences limit the reliability of the favourites. The estimate is kept anchored to the market.

Stade de Reims – SochauxLigue 2FootballStade de Reims to winMatch winner (1X2) · Coolbetnote: M. Debondt, M. Gbane, J. Okumu, Lenny Sylla not in the squadOdds 1.72 · market 55.3% · our estimate 55% · edge -4.9%i1.72↓ 1.62CLV +3.6 ppmorningWin2–0 (Reims voitti)

Reims are unbeaten in the league and clearly more efficient than Sochaux, but several absences and Sochaux's longer rest prevent a deviation from the market estimate.

Mallorca – Cádiz CFSegunda DivisiónFootballMallorca to winMatch winner (1X2) · PinnacleOdds 1.51 · market 63.7% · our estimate 64% · edge -3.8%i1.51↓ 1.46CLV +2.3 ppmorningWin2–1 (Mallorca voitti)

Mallorca have been clearly tighter than Cadiz and have the rest advantage, but absences on both sides level the playing field. The estimate is kept at the market's fair 63.7%.

Independiente Rivadavia – BanfieldArgentiinan PrimeraFootballIndependiente Rivadavia to winMatch winner (1X2) · PinnacleOdds 1.59 · market 60.4% · our estimate 60% · edge -4.0%i1.59↑ 1.61CLV −0.8 ppmorningWin3–1 (Independiente Rivadavia kotivoitto)

Independiente Rivadavia are strong home favourites, but poor recent form, absences and Banfield's favourable H2H prevent us from raising the estimate above the market's fair 60.4%.

Platense – Central CórdobaArgentiinan PrimeraFootballPlatense to winMatch winner (1X2) · LadbrokesOdds 1.53 · market 61.8% · our estimate 62% · edge -5.3%i1.53↓ 1.48CLV +2.2 ppafternoonWin2–0 (Platense voitti)

Platense are the home favourites and Central Córdoba are five league matches without a win, but Platense's shorter rest and their own absences prevent a deviation from the market estimate.

Cleveland Cavaliers – Oklahoma City ThunderNBABasketballCleveland Cavaliers to winEstimate ≥ marketMatch winner (1X2) · PinnacleOdds 1.61 · market 60.5% · our estimate 61% · edge -2.6%i1.61↓ 1.56CLV +2.0 ppnightLoss112–117 (Oklahoma City Thunder voitti)

Cleveland have been clearly more efficient over the six-game sample, but OKC's major absences are public and likely already reflected in the odds. The estimate remains in the market's fair distribution.

Charlotte Hornets – Detroit PistonsNBABasketballDetroit Pistons to winMatch winner (1X2) · UnibetOdds 1.48 · market 65.4% · our estimate 65% · edge -3.2%i1.48↓ 1.46CLV +0.9 ppnightWin91–124 (Detroit Pistons voitti)

Detroit's early-season performance and the recent 97–89 head-to-head support their status as favourites. However, Jalen Duren's absence prevents the estimate from being raised from the market's 65.4%.

Memphis Grizzlies – New Orleans PelicansNBABasketballMemphis Grizzlies to winEstimate ≥ marketMatch winner (1X2) · Sky BetOdds 1.53 · market 62.0% · our estimate 64% · edge -2.1%i1.53↓ 1.49CLV +1.8 ppnightLoss134–135 JA (New Orleans Pelicans voitti jatkoajalla)

Memphis have started 6–0 and defended clearly better than New Orleans. Poole and Missi are out for the Pelicans, while Murray is questionable; Memphis's absences concern smaller roles.

Chicago Blackhawks – Colorado AvalancheNHLIce hockeyColorado Avalanche to winMatch winner · incl. OT & shootout · PinnacleOdds 1.46 · market 66.8% · our estimate 67% · edge -2.5%i1.46↓ 1.44CLV +1.0 ppnightWin2–5 (Colorado Avalanche voitti)

Colorado have been clearly more efficient than Chicago, but equal season save percentages and the lack of rest advantages provide no basis to exceed the market's 66.8% estimate.

Seattle Seahawks – Chicago BearsNFLAmerican footballSeattle Seahawks to winMatch winner (1X2) · PinnacleOdds 1.60 · market 60.7% · our estimate 61% · edge -2.9%i1.60↓ 1.58CLV +0.8 ppnightLoss17–34 (Chicago Bears voitti)

Seattle are at home and have conceded only 17.9 points per game over seven games. There is insufficient source-based reason to deviate from the market estimate.

Value picksOur estimate beats the market
Boston Bruins – Vegas Golden KnightsNHLIce hockeyBoston Bruins to winMatch winner · incl. OT & shootout · PinnacleBlind estimate 55% · market 48.9% · edge +10.0%i2.00↑ 2.01CLV −0.2 ppnightWin3–2 VL (Boston Bruins voitti voittomaalikilpailussa)

Why we think the market is wrong: Boston have home advantage and confirmed Jeremy Swayman in goal.

Boston have home advantage and confirmed Jeremy Swayman in goal. Vegas's Carter Hart is only projected and his season save percentage is weaker than Swayman's.

Totals & spreadsOver/under picks call the match's total goals or points, not the winner. Odds are 1.70–2.20 and the reason is always named: pace, goaltending, absences or conditions. In ice hockey, goal totals are settled including overtime and the shootout; the shootout counts as one goal. In football only regulation time. Spread picks call the winning margin: Lakers −4.5 wins if the Lakers win by five or more.
Genclerbirligi SK – AlanyasporSüper LigFootballOver 2.5 goalsOver/Under 2.5 goals · Grosvenornote: Ousmane Diabate, O. Etebo, Kévin Rodrigues, D. Goutas, F. Aksoy, Paolo Fernandes not in the squadOdds 2.12 · market 46.6% · our estimate 50% · edge +6.0%i2.12↓ 2.04CLV +1.9 ppmorningWin5–0 → 5 maalia, raja 2,5

Across the last 10-match samples, the line was exceeded 11/20 times in total. Rodrigues is absent from Gençlerbirliği's defence, while Goutas and Pereira are doubtful, which lifts the Over estimate.

Red Star – NancyLigue 2FootballUnder 2.5 goalsOver/Under 2.5 goals · PinnacleOdds 1.87 · market 51.9% · our estimate 58% · edge +8.5%i1.87↓ 1.84CLV +0.9 ppmorningLoss1–4 → 5 maalia, raja 2,5

Nancy have conceded only 0.8 goals per match in Ligue 2 and kept five clean sheets; just seven goals in total have been scored in Red Star's four home matches.

Lorient – BrestLigue 1FootballOver 2.5 goalsOver/Under 2.5 goals · Betssonnote: B. Chardonnet, R. Le Guen, G. Versini, B. Fadiga not in the squadOdds 2.13 · market 45.4% · our estimate 48% · edge +2.2%i2.13↑ 2.26CLV −2.7 ppmorningLoss0–2 → 2 maalia, raja 2,5

Brest's 10-match goal average is 3.2 and Over 2.5 landed in 7/10; captain and centre-back Brendan Chardonnet is also absent. Lorient's low-scoring nature limits the estimate.

Newcastle United – EvertonValioliigaFootballUnder 2.5 goalsOver/Under 2.5 goals · Tipiconote: T. Livramento, J. Grealish not in the squadOdds 2.20 · market 44.2% · our estimate 47% · edge +3.4%i2.20→ 2.20CLV 0.0 ppmorningWin0–1 → 1 maalia, raja 2,5

Everton have conceded only 1.0 goals per match in their last ten, and centre-back Jarrad Branthwaite is expected to return. Newcastle also have uncertainties in attack.

Independiente Rivadavia – BanfieldArgentiinan PrimeraFootballUnder 2.5 goalsOver/Under 2.5 goals · Unibet (SE)Odds 1.93 · market 50.0% · our estimate 53% · edge +2.3%i1.93↑ 1.94CLV −0.3 ppmorningLoss3–1 → 4 maalia, raja 2,5

Only 2/5 of each side's last five matches went Over 2.5 goals. In addition, both are without a forward, so the estimate leans slightly Under the market's even split.

Oviedo – Las PalmasSegunda DivisiónFootballOver 2.5 goalsOver/Under 2.5 goals · MarathonbetOdds 1.93 · market 50.6% · our estimate 54% · edge +4.2%i1.93↑ 1.94CLV −0.3 ppafternoonWin2–3 → 5 maalia, raja 2,5

The direction switches to Over: 13 of the teams' last 20 matches went Over 2.5 goals, while Las Palmas' seven absences and change of manager add defensive uncertainty.

St. John's Red Storm – Monmouth HawksNCAABasketballMonmouth Hawks +27.5 pointsHandicap +27.5 · William HillOdds 2.00 · market 48.4% · our estimate 53% · edge +5.0%i2.00→ 2.00CLV 0.0 ppnightWin78–63 → marginaali -15, linja +27,5

Monmouth's eight returning players provide continuity while St. John’s build a renewed rotation. The 27.5-point handicap gives the Hawks a slightly better chance than the market suggests.

Dallas Mavericks – Sacramento KingsNBABasketballDallas Mavericks −9.5 pointsHandicap −9.5 · 888Odds 2.00 · market 49.1% · our estimate 53% · edge +5.0%i2.00line movednightLoss100–115 → marginaali -15, linja −9,5

Sacramento are playing their second game on consecutive nights and have lost all six games; five defeats came by at least 11 points. Dallas are more rested, but Kyrie Irving's uncertainty tempers the estimate.

Houston Cougars – La Salle ExplorersNCAABasketballHouston Cougars −29.5 pointsHandicap −29.5 · PinnacleOdds 1.98 · market 48.3% · our estimate 53% · edge +4.9%i1.98↓ 1.86CLV +3.3 ppnightWin94–55 → marginaali +39, linja −29,5

La Salle's Jerome Brewer Jr.'s absence and the away team's major squad turnover favour Houston. Houston have also won 17 consecutive season openers by an average of 29.7 points.

SpecialsSpecials call an individual player's statistic: points, goals, assists, shots, power-play points or saves in the NHL; points, goals, assists or shots in Liiga; points, rebounds, assists or threes in the NBA; and shots and shots on target in football. Hockey and basketball picks are published with a confirmed line-up; a football pick may be published before the line-up is announced and is voided under the bookmaker's rule if the player does not start. Odds are 1.60–2.20 and the reason is always named.
K. DoumbiaLorient – Brest · Ligue 1FootballK. Doumbia Over 0.5 shots on targetShots on target Over/Under 0.5 · UnibetOdds 1.75 · market 57.1% · our estimate 63% · edge +10.3%i1.75↓ 1.70CLV +1.7 ppafternoonWin1 laukausta maalia kohti, raja 0,5 · 76 min

Last 8: 5/8 over 0.5 · 81 min

Doumbia has recorded at least one shot on target in 5/8 matches. His playing time in recent games has been stable, and the sources show no role or minutes change that would justify deviating from 63%.

Eetu LuostarinenFlorida Panthers – Detroit Red Wings · NHLIce hockeyEetu Luostarinen Under 1.5 shotsShots on target Over/Under 1.5 · UnibetOdds 1.67 · market 55.5% · our estimate 67% · edge +11.9%i1.67→ 1.67CLV 0.0 ppnightWin–

Last 20: 13/20 under 1.5 · shots/60 4.8 · TOI 16:06

Luostarinen has stayed under the line in 7/10 recent games. His third-line and PP2 role, plus Detroit allowing only 24.4 shots per game, support the under estimate.

Frank NazarChicago Blackhawks – Colorado Avalanche · NHLIce hockeyFrank Nazar Over 1.5 shotsShots on target Over/Under 1.5 · PinnacleOdds 1.99 · market 46.9% · our estimate 53% · edge +5.5%i1.99→ 1.99CLV 0.0 ppnightWinNazar laukoi 3 kertaa ottelussa

Last 20: 10/20 over 1.5 · shots/60 5.9 · TOI 17:11

Nazar is on the projected third line and PP2. The sample narrowly supports the over: he exceeded the line in 6/10 games, and there is no clear change in today's role.

Dmitry OrlovSan Jose Sharks – Calgary Flames · NHLIce hockeyDmitry Orlov Under 0.5 pointsPoints Over/Under 0.5 · UnibetOdds 1.79 · market 51.9% · our estimate 60% · edge +7.4%i1.79↓ 1.63CLV +5.5 ppnightWinOrlov jäi pisteittä

Last 20: 13/20 under 0.5 · TOI 18:32

Orlov went pointless in 5/10 recent games and 13/20 games. The D3 role supports the under estimate, but the PP1 spot and Dustin Wolf's poor start to the season prevent the estimate from being raised above the empirical 60%.

Past results are no guarantee of future results.