Wednesday 14 Oct 2026 · Afternoon · published Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 15:20 (Helsinki time)
Tips 2026-10-14
Result: 2/4 hit · return 86.5%
| Match | Sport | Pick | Odds | Kick-off (Helsinki time) | Status | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Totals & spreadsOver/under picks call the match's total goals or points, not the winner. Odds are 1.70–2.20 and the reason is always named: pace, goaltending, absences or conditions. In ice hockey overtime and the shootout count; in football only regulation time. Spread picks call the winning margin: Lakers −4.5 wins if the Lakers win by five or more. | ||||||
| KalPa – ÄssätLiiga | Ice hockey🏒 | Under 5.5 goalsOver/Under 5.5 goals · GrosvenorOdds 1.70 · market 57.3% · our estimate 61% · edge +3.7%i | 1.70CLV +22.8 % | Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 18:30Wed 14 Oct18:30 | Win | 0–1 → 1 maalia, raja 5,5 |
| JYP – LukkoLiiga | Ice hockey🏒 | Over 5.5 goalsOver/Under 5.5 goals · 1xBetOdds 2.03 · market 48.5% · our estimate 51% · edge +2.5%i | 2.03CLV ±0.0 % | Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 18:30Wed 14 Oct18:30 | Loss | 2–2 vmk → 5 maalia, raja 5,5 |
| Feyenoord – ComoMestarien liiga | Football⚽ | Under 3.5 goalsOver/Under 3.5 goals · 1xBetOdds 1.72 · market 57.3% · our estimate 60% · edge +3.2%i | 1.72CLV +4.2 % | Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 19:45Wed 14 Oct19:45 | Loss | 3–2 → 5 maalia, raja 3,5 |
SpecialsSpecials call an individual player's statistic: points, goals, assists, shots, power-play points or saves in the NHL; points, goals, assists or shots in Liiga; and points, rebounds, assists or threes in the NBA. A pick is published only with a confirmed line-up and voided if the player does not play. Odds are 1.60–2.20 and the reason is always named. | ||||||
| Daniel MäkiahoHIFK – TPS · Liiga | Ice hockey🏒 | Daniel Mäkiaho Over 0.5 pointsOver/Under 0.5 points · UnibetOdds 1.76 · market 52.2% · our estimate 63% · edge +10.9%i | 1.76CLV ±0.0 % | Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 18:30Wed 14 Oct18:30 | Win | 3 pistettä, raja 0,5 |
Last 20: 11/20 over 0.5 · TOI 16:33 | ||||||
Last 20: 11/20 over 0.5 · TOI 16:33 | ||||||
No picks match these filters
In Wednesday afternoon's offering, attention turns to Liiga's evenly matched early-evening contests as well as the evening Champions League football match. The day's schedule combines the key points of the domestic ice hockey season and high-quality club football on the European stage.
Over/Under and Handicap
In Over/Under markets, you bet on the match's total number of goals or points, not the winner. Odds are 1.70–2.20 and the rationale is always specified: match tempo, goaltenders, absences or conditions. In ice hockey, overtime and the shootout are included; in football, only regular time counts. In Handicap markets, you bet on the winning margin: Lakers −4.5 wins if Lakers win by at least five.
KalPa – Ässät: Under 5.5 goals @ 1.70
Statistics. KalPa's goal environment over their last 10 matches has been 2.6 scored and 2.4 conceded per match, while Ässät's has been 2.4 and 2.3. KalPa's penalty kill has operated at 88.9% and Ässät's at 80.6%. Situation. The starting goaltenders are Rasmus Korhonen and Jan Bednar. KalPa are without forwards Juuso Mäenpää and Jaakko Rissanen, and neither team is playing on consecutive days. Estimate. Over: 39% · Under: 61% Why we are betting. The recent goal environment is below the line, and KalPa's key forward absences and strong penalty kill support the Under selection. Deviation from the market: The low goal tally in recent matches, strong penalty kills and KalPa's key forward absences shift our estimate towards the Under.
Odds 1.70 · market 57.3% · our estimate 61% · edge +3.7%
Feyenoord – Como: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.72
Statistics. Feyenoord have scored 3.0 and conceded 1.3 goals per match in a 10-match sample; Over 2.5 goals landed in 8/10. Como's figures are 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded, with Over 2.5 goals in 5/10; xG unavailable. Situation. Como have failed to score in their last two matches, and key forward Moise Kean is absent. Feyenoord have several defensive absences, but have kept three consecutive clean sheets; neither side is playing on consecutive days. Estimate. Over: 40% · Under: 60% Why we are betting. Como's lack of attacking output in recent matches and Kean's absence reduce the goal expectation, although Feyenoord's strong attack prevents a larger deviation from the market. Deviation from the market: The lack of attacking output from Como in recent matches, Moise Kean's absence and Feyenoord's three consecutive clean sheets shift our estimate towards the Under.
Odds 1.72 · market 57.3% · our estimate 60% · edge +3.2%
JYP – Lukko: Over 5.5 goals @ 2.03
Statistics. In JYP's last ten matches, the average total goals figure is 5.5 (3.0 scored, 2.5 conceded), while Lukko's is 5.0 (2.9 and 2.1). JYP's power play is at 23.3%, while Lukko's penalty kill has been limited to 69.2%. Situation. The starting goaltenders are Oskari Setänen and Daniel Salonen. Neither team is playing on consecutive days; JYP are without Santeri Huovila and Roni Jokinen, and Lukko without Chris Harpur. Estimate. Over: 50.5% · Under: 49.5% Why we are betting. The mismatch between JYP's efficient power play and Lukko's weak penalty kill increases the possibility of a high-scoring game. Setänen's early-season goaltending numbers support a slight lean towards the Over. Deviation from the market: The Over estimate is higher than the market primarily due to JYP's efficient power play and Lukko's weak penalty kill, as well as Setänen's early-season goaltending numbers.
Odds 2.03 · market 48.5% · our estimate 51% · edge +2.5%
Specials
HIFK – TPS: Daniel Mäkiaho Over 0.5 points @ 1.76
Statistics. Mäkiaho has recorded a point in 8/10 recent matches and in 11/20 matches; his average points total is 0.9. His average ice time is 16:33, but the average over the last five matches has risen to 17:59. Situation. Mäkiaho has been confirmed on HIFK's first line. TPS starter Eetu Mäkiniemi's season goals-against average is 1.90 and save percentage is 89.95; TPS are also playing on the second of consecutive days. Estimate. Over: 63% · Under: 37% Why we are betting. The recent 8/10 points streak, increased ice time and first-line role support the Over, but TPS conceding 2.3 goals per match keeps the estimate at an empirical 63%. Deviation from the market: The first-line role and TPS playing on consecutive days support the Over, but TPS conceding 2.3 goals per match and Eetu Mäkiniemi's 1.90 goals-against average offset any further increase, so the estimate remains at an empirical 63%.
Odds 1.76 · market 52.2% · our estimate 63% · edge +10.9%
Wizard's pick
An additional selection added at the administrator's discretion, which the model rejected or did not suggest. Tracked separately.
HIFK – TPS: Daniel Mäkiaho Over 0.5 points @ 1.76
Why we are betting. Mäkiaho has been in strong points form in recent matches.
Model estimate: Odds 1.76 · market 52.2% · estimate 65% · model edge +14.4% — model rejected: implausible deviation: over 10 percentage points (65.0% vs. fair 52.2%)
Bet responsibly and only with money you can afford to lose. Tips are opinions, not promises of profit.