Sunday 27 Sept 2026 · Overnight games · published Sun, 27 Sept 2026, 08:03 (Helsinki time)
Tips 2026-09-27
Result: 2/2 hit · return 143.0%
| Match | Sport | Pick | Odds | Kick-off (Helsinki time) | Status | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LikelyOdds 1.30–1.75 · hit more often than value picks, but at short odds one loss wipes out several wins. Edge here is usually near zero or negative – no value edge, nothing is certain. | ||||||
| Baltimore Ravens – Dallas CowboysNFL | American football | Baltimore Ravens to winMatch winner · BetVictorOdds 1.53 · market 61.1% · our estimate 62% · edge -5.1%i | 1.53CLV ±0.0 % | Sun, 27 Sept 2026, 23:25 | Win | 34–31 (Baltimore Ravens voitti Dallas Cowboysin) |
| Dallas Wings – Golden State ValkyriesWNBA | Basketball | Golden State Valkyries to winMatch winner (incl. overtime) · StakeOdds 1.33 · market 71.0% · our estimate 71% · edge -5.0%i | 1.33CLV ±0.0 % | Mon, 28 Sept 2026, 04:00 | Win | 80–104 (Golden State Valkyries voitti) |
The evening and overnight schedule turns attention to the United States, where American football is played in the NFL and basketball in the WNBA. There are two different sports on offer and matches with intriguing match-ups, taking place late in the evening and in the early hours of the morning Finnish time.
Likely
Likely picks are favourites whose chances of winning we consider at least as likely as the market does. They land more often than value picks, but short odds mean that one loss wipes out several wins. The edge in this band is usually around zero or negative, because the odds include the bookmaker's margin – the long-term return is at market level, not above it.
Dallas Wings – Golden State Valkyries: Golden State Valkyries to win @ 1.33
Statistics. Golden State finished the regular season with a 32–12 record and Dallas with a 27–17 record. The Valkyries won all three head-to-head meetings during the season by an average of 12.3 points, and their defensive rating of 99.1 was the best in the league. Situation. This is the opening game of the first round of the playoffs, so neither side has a regular-season rest motivation; the official preview highlights Veronica Burton, Gabby Williams, Paige Bueckers and Jessica Sheppard among those in key roles. Dallas last played on 23.9. and Golden State on 24.9., so neither is in a back-to-back situation. Estimate. Dallas Wings: 28.6% · Golden State Valkyries: 71.4% Why we play it. Golden State's 3–0 head-to-head record and the league's best defence support their status as favourites, but without a strong source-based reason to deviate from the market, our estimate is kept at exactly the market's fair 71.4%.
Odds 1.33 · market 71.0% · our estimate 71% · edge -5.0%
Baltimore Ravens – Dallas Cowboys: Baltimore Ravens to win @ 1.53
Statistics. Both are 1–1 after two rounds: Baltimore lost 17–24 to New Orleans and Dallas beat Washington 37–20. Dallas's defence has allowed 0.28 EPA per pass and 0.09 EPA per rush, but the Cowboys' offence has converted 68.2% of third downs. Situation. Lamar Jackson and Dak Prescott are the projected starting quarterbacks, and neither is on the game's injury report. Ronnie Stanley is out for the Ravens and Zay Flowers is questionable; four defensive players are out for Dallas. Both have normal Sunday-to-Sunday rest before the game in Rio de Janeiro. Estimate. Baltimore Ravens: 62% · Dallas Cowboys: 38% Why we play it. Baltimore are justified favourites due to Dallas's defensive absences and run-defence numbers. However, we do not find sufficient source-based reason to deviate from the market's fair 62–38 estimate, as the Ravens are missing their left tackle and their number-one wide receiver is questionable.
Odds 1.53 · market 61.1% · our estimate 62% · edge -5.1%
Over/Under
No Over/Under picks in this publication.
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