BetSorceress
Reasoned picks across sports three times a day – around 07:15, 13:35 and 19:15 your local time (UTC). History and hit rate are public.
Accuracy
Likely
Odds 1.30–1.75 · hit more often than value picks, but at short odds one loss wipes out several wins. Edge here is usually near zero or negative – no value edge, nothing is certain.
Hit rate
67.4 %
238/353 settled
Return
101.9%
flat stakes, singles
Last 10
70 %
10 tips · 25 Oct – 27 Oct
Picks, newest first
The ten most recently played settled picks, by start time. Voided picks are not included.
- Edmonton Oilers – Detroit Red WingsEdmonton Oilers to win · 1.61Loss
- Houston Rockets – Atlanta HawksHouston Rockets to win · 1.54Win
- Philadelphia Eagles – Dallas CowboysDallas Cowboys to win · 1.50Win
- Milwaukee Bucks – Indiana PacersIndiana Pacers to win · 1.62Loss
- Cleveland Cavaliers – Minnesota TimberwolvesCleveland Cavaliers to win · 1.54Win
- FC Copenhagen – OB Odense BKFC Copenhagen to win · 1.50Loss
- River Plate – Racing ClubRiver Plate to win · 1.52Win
- Dallas Stars – New York IslandersDallas Stars to win · 1.55Win
- Detroit Lions – Green Bay PackersDetroit Lions to win · 1.54Win
- Las Vegas Raiders – Los Angeles RamsLos Angeles Rams to win · 1.60Win
Settled
353
238 wins · 115 losses
Closing line
59.5 %
beat the closing line · 291 picks · avg +0.6 pp
↳ estimate ≥ market 50 picks · hit rate 74 % · return 116.4% · CLV +1.2 pp · closing line beaten 71.4 %
↳ estimate < market 127 picks · hit rate 66.1 % · return 102.0% · CLV +0.7 pp · closing line beaten 62.7 %
All picks
Hit rate
60.2 %
of all published picks
Return
102.7%
flat stakes, singles
Last 10
50 %
10 tips · 27 Oct
Picks, newest first
The ten most recently played settled picks, by start time. Voided picks are not included.
- Denver Nuggets – Golden State WarriorsDenver Nuggets −7.5 points · 1.96Loss
- Edmonton Oilers – Detroit Red WingsOver 6.5 goals · 1.78Win
- Edmonton Oilers – Detroit Red WingsEdmonton Oilers to win · 1.61Loss
- Houston Rockets – Atlanta HawksHouston Rockets to win · 1.54Win
- Philadelphia Eagles – Dallas CowboysDallas Cowboys to win · 1.50Win
- Instituto de Córdoba – Deportivo RiestraInstituto de Córdoba to win · 1.83Win
- Milwaukee Bucks – Indiana PacersIndiana Pacers to win · 1.62Loss
- New York Rangers – Los Angeles KingsUnder 5.5 goals · 2.04Loss
- Charlotte Hornets – Washington WizardsOver 228.5 points · 2.00Loss
- Cleveland Cavaliers – Minnesota TimberwolvesCleveland Cavaliers to win · 1.54Win
Settled
699
421 wins · 278 losses
Closing line
56.4 %
beat the closing line · 559 picks · avg +0.7 pp
Value picks
In value picks our estimate beats the market, meaning we think the odds are too long. They hit less often than favourites and results swing a lot in the short run – any benefit shows only over dozens of picks, if our estimates are right.
Hit rate
49.3 %
33/67 settled
Return
97.6%
flat stakes, singles
Last 10
60 %
10 tips · 14 Oct – 27 Oct
Picks, newest first
The ten most recently played settled picks, by start time. Voided picks are not included.
- Instituto de Córdoba – Deportivo RiestraInstituto de Córdoba to win · 1.83Win
- TSG Hoffenheim – Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen to win · 2.17Loss
- Liverpool – Brighton and Hove AlbionLiverpool to win · 2.15Win
- HPK – HIFKHPK to win · 1.99Loss
- New York Islanders – Anaheim DucksNew York Islanders to win · 1.68Win
- KalPa – PelicansKalPa to win · 1.81Win
- Frosinone – SassuoloFrosinone to win · 2.51Win
- Toronto Maple Leafs – Buffalo SabresToronto Maple Leafs to win · 1.89Loss
- Sport – KooKooSport to win · 1.79Win
- Nashville Predators – Vegas Golden KnightsNashville Predators to win · 2.13Loss
Settled
67
33 wins · 34 losses
Closing line
68.8 %
beat the closing line · 32 picks · avg +1.7 pp
Totals & spreads
Over/under picks call the match's total goals or points, not the winner. Odds are 1.70–2.20 and the reason is always named: pace, goaltending, absences or conditions. In ice hockey, goal totals are settled including overtime and the shootout; the shootout counts as one goal. In football only regulation time. Spread picks call the winning margin: Lakers −4.5 wins if the Lakers win by five or more.
Hit rate
53.6 %
127/237 settled
Return
104.8%
flat stakes, singles
Last 10
40 %
10 tips · 26 Oct – 27 Oct
Picks, newest first
The ten most recently played settled picks, by start time. Voided picks are not included.
- Denver Nuggets – Golden State WarriorsDenver Nuggets −7.5 points · 1.96Loss
- Edmonton Oilers – Detroit Red WingsOver 6.5 goals · 1.78Win
- New York Rangers – Los Angeles KingsUnder 5.5 goals · 2.04Loss
- Charlotte Hornets – Washington WizardsOver 228.5 points · 2.00Loss
- Coritiba – GrêmioOver 2.5 goals · 2.07Loss
- Paris Saint Germain – LyonOver 3.5 goals · 2.01Loss
- Besiktas JK – BasaksehirUnder 3.5 goals · 1.80Win
- Vancouver Canucks – Minnesota WildUnder 6.5 goals · 1.99Win
- Nashville Predators – Colorado AvalancheOver 6.5 goals · 1.91Win
- Dallas Stars – New York IslandersUnder 5.5 goals · 1.88Loss
Settled
237
127 wins · 110 losses
Closing line
50.5 %
beat the closing line · 202 picks · avg +0.6 pp
Specials
Specials call an individual player's statistic: points, goals, assists, shots, power-play points or saves in the NHL; points, goals, assists or shots in Liiga; points, rebounds, assists or threes in the NBA; and shots and shots on target in football. Hockey and basketball picks are published with a confirmed line-up; a football pick may be published before the line-up is announced and is voided under the bookmaker's rule if the player does not start. Odds are 1.60–2.20 and the reason is always named.
shots 2/9 · points 12/17 · shots (football) 0/2 · shots on target 4/6
Hit rate
52.9 %
18/34 settled
Return
92.3%
flat stakes, singles
Last 10
50 %
10 tips · 22 Oct – 26 Oct
Picks, newest first
The ten most recently played settled picks, by start time. Voided picks are not included.
- Vancouver Canucks – Minnesota WildBrock Boeser over 0.5 points · 1.95Win
- Winnipeg Jets – Montréal CanadiensLane Hutson over 1.5 shots · 1.82Loss
- Real Sociedad – LevanteIván Romero Over 0.5 shots on target · 1.66Win
- Kärpät – KalPaEemil Erholtz Over 0.5 points · 1.85Win
- Arsenal – EvertonKiernan Dewsbury-Hall Over 1.5 shots · 1.93Loss
- Coventry City – FulhamJosh King Over 0.5 shots on target · 1.67Win
- New York Islanders – Los Angeles KingsSimon Holmstrom Under 1.5 shots · 1.71Loss
- Besiktas JK – Crystal PalaceYéremy Pino Over 0.5 shots on target · 2.00Win
- Union Saint-Gilloise – Hapoel Be'er ShevaR. Mofokeng Over 0.5 shots on target · 1.65Loss
- Lech Poznań – SunderlandM. Ishak Over 2.5 shots · 2.00Loss
Settled
34
18 wins · 16 losses
Closing line
52.9 %
beat the closing line · 34 picks · avg +0.8 pp
Sorceress's pick
Added at the administrator's discretion after the model rejected or did not propose it. Tracked separately.
Hit rate
62.5 %
5/8 settled
Return
165.0%
flat stakes, singles
Last 8
62.5 %
8 tips · 18 Sept – 16 Oct
Picks, newest first
The ten most recently played settled picks, by start time. Voided picks are not included.
- HPK-IlvesLuke Henman · 3.40Loss
- Sport-IlvesJens Lööke · 4.40Loss
- KärpätEemil Erholtz · 5.50Win
- Vaasan Sport - HIFKVincent Marleau · 5.20Loss
- Tappara-KookooJoachim Blichfeld Tappara · 2.95Win
- Jonkoping – Skovde AIKJonkoping · 1.58Win
- Newcastle United – Hull CityOver 2.5 goals · 1.70Win
- Brentford – ChelseaTotal goals · 1.47Win
Settled
8
5 wins · 3 losses
Closing line
–
beat the closing line · 0 picks · avg –
- Football 61.4 % (199/324)
- Ice hockey 57.7 % (101/175)
- Basketball 60.4 % (55/91)
- American football 56.9 % (29/51)
- Tennis 60 % (15/25)
- Baseball 66.7 % (12/18)
- Volleyball 85.7 % (6/7)
- Handball 50 % (2/4)
Published today
Morning
7 tips
Afternoon
3 tips
Today's free pick
| Match | Sport | Pick | Odds | Kick-off (your time) | Status | Result | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalPa – SportLiiga | Ice hockey🏒 | KalPa to winLikelyEstimate ≥ marketMatch winner · incl. OT & shootout · CoralOdds 1.60 · market 57.9% · our estimate 60% · edge -4.8%i | 1.60↓ 1.52CLV +3.3 pp | Pending | – | ||||||||||||||||
KalPa have been more efficient than Sport in recent matches and hold an advantage on both the power play and penalty kill. Both have had the same amount of rest, and the starting goaltenders have been confirmed. | |||||||||||||||||||||
KalPa have been more efficient than Sport in recent matches and hold an advantage on both the power play and penalty kill. Both have had the same amount of rest, and the starting goaltenders have been confirmed. | |||||||||||||||||||||
Odds by bookmaker
Odds are shown for information only. Check your own bookmaker. | |||||||||||||||||||||
10 picks today, 7 still open – 9 visible to subscribers
Day pass €3.90 (24 h – includes tomorrow morning's picks) · week €9.90 · month €29.90 (3 days free). incl. 25.5 % VAT(24 h – includes tomorrow morning's picks)
Settled yesterday
Full archiveYesterday 6/14 hit · return 71.4%
Overnight games
9 tips
4/9 hit · return 70.7%
Open the day's picksAfternoon
1 tip
0/1 hit · return 0.0%
Open the day's picksMorning
4 tips
2/4 hit · return 90.8%
Open the day's picks