Monday 26 Oct 2026 · 14 picks · 6/14 hit · return 71.4%

Hits

6/14

of all published

Return

71.4%

flat-stake singles

Value picks

1/1

return 183.0%

Likely

3/6

return 76.3%

Totals & spreads

2/7

return 51.1%

MatchSportPickOddsKick-off (your time)StatusResult
LikelyOdds 1.30–1.75 · hit more often than value picks, but at short odds one loss wipes out several wins. Edge here is usually near zero or negative – no value edge, nothing is certain.
FC Copenhagen – OB Odense BKSuperliga (DEN)FootballFC Copenhagen to winEstimate ≥ marketMatch winner (1X2) · Pinnaclenote: T. Maseko, W. Martin, J. Niemiec, P. Therkildsen not in the squadOdds 1.50 · market 64.2% · our estimate 64% · edge -3.7%i1.50↓ 1.42CLV +3.8 ppmorningLoss1–1 (tasapeli)

FCK's results and goals profile is stronger than OB's, and the away meeting in September ended 5–0. The rest difference following the European match and FCK's absences prevent a figure higher than the market estimate.

Cleveland Cavaliers – Minnesota TimberwolvesNBABasketballCleveland Cavaliers to winMatch winner (1X2) · WinamaxOdds 1.54 · market 62.4% · our estimate 62% · edge -4.1%i1.54↑ 1.68CLV −5.4 ppnightWinCleveland Cavaliers voitti 127–125 jatkoajalla.

Cleveland have a rest advantage and Minnesota are playing away on consecutive nights; Edwards is also questionable. However, the market already appears to account for these factors, so the estimate remains at 62.3%.

Milwaukee Bucks – Indiana PacersNBABasketballIndiana Pacers to winMatch winner (1X2) · PinnacleOdds 1.62 · market 60.2% · our estimate 60% · edge -2.5%i1.62↑ 1.64CLV −0.7 ppnightLossMilwaukee Bucks voitti 110–102.

Indiana are stronger than Milwaukee in the 10-game scoring averages, but are playing on consecutive nights and have absences. The sources provide no reason to deviate from the market's 60.2%.

Philadelphia Eagles – Dallas CowboysNFLAmerican footballDallas Cowboys to winMatch winner (1X2) · Paddy PowerOdds 1.50 · market 63.6% · our estimate 64% · edge -4.6%i1.50↓ 1.48CLV +0.9 ppnightWinDallas Cowboys voitti 38–21.

Dallas have a clear QB advantage: Dak Prescott starts, while Philadelphia play Tanner McKee without injured Jalen Hurts and two wide receivers. However, the market price appears already to account for the situation.

Houston Rockets – Atlanta HawksNBABasketballHouston Rockets to winEstimate ≥ marketMatch winner (1X2) · CoolbetOdds 1.54 · market 62.4% · our estimate 62% · edge -4.1%i1.54↓ 1.53CLV +0.4 ppnightWinHouston Rockets voitti 120–110.

Houston's 10-game points difference is strong and they beat Atlanta 121–114 two days earlier. However, the absences of Smart and Adams prevent an estimate higher than the market's.

Edmonton Oilers – Detroit Red WingsNHLIce hockeyEdmonton Oilers to winMatch winner · incl. OT & shootout · PinnacleOdds 1.61 · market 60.5% · our estimate 61% · edge -2.6%i1.61↓ 1.57CLV +1.6 ppnightLossDetroit Red Wings voitti Edmonton Oilersin 4–3 voittomaalikilpailussa.

Edmonton's attack has scored 4.36 goals per game, and Detroit are starting NHL debutant Michal Postava in goal. The market estimate of 60.5% remains balanced due to Jarry's poor start to the season.

Value picksOur estimate beats the market
Instituto de Córdoba – Deportivo RiestraArgentiinan PrimeraFootballInstituto de Córdoba to winMatch winner (1X2) · Codere (IT)note: I. Arce, L. Sanseviero, Y. Murillo, N. Sansotre not in the squadBlind estimate 57% · market 51.6% · edge +4.3%i1.83↓ 1.82CLV +0.3 ppmorningWin1–0 (Instituto Cordoba voitti)

Why we think the market is wrong: Instituto's form, a three-day rest advantage and Riestra's four injury absences — including Ignacio Arce, the goalkeeper who started the previous match — raise the estimate for a Home win.

Instituto's form, a three-day rest advantage and Riestra's four injury absences — including Ignacio Arce, the goalkeeper who started the previous match — raise the estimate for a Home win.

Totals & spreadsOver/under picks call the match's total goals or points, not the winner. Odds are 1.70–2.20 and the reason is always named: pace, goaltending, absences or conditions. In ice hockey, goal totals are settled including overtime and the shootout; the shootout counts as one goal. In football only regulation time. Spread picks call the winning margin: Lakers −4.5 wins if the Lakers win by five or more.
Besiktas JK – BasaksehirSüper LigFootballUnder 3.5 goalsOver/Under 3.5 goals · 1xBetnote: M. Rashica, F. Miretti not in the squadOdds 1.80 · market 53.8% · our estimate 58% · edge +4.4%i1.80→ 1.80CLV 0.0 ppmorningWin2–0 → 2 maalia, raja 3,5

Başakşehir's total-goals average over 10 matches is 2.8 and only 3/10 went Over 3.5 goals. Kökçü and Rashica are absent for Beşiktaş, while Miretti is doubtful.

Coritiba – GrêmioBrasileirão Série AFootballOver 2.5 goalsOver/Under 2.5 goals · Pinnaclenote: W. Kannemann not in the squadOdds 2.07 · market 48.1% · our estimate 52% · edge +7.6%i2.07↓ 1.89CLV +4.6 ppmorningLoss0–1 → 1 maalia, raja 2,5

Coritiba's total-goals average over 10 matches is 3.4 and 7/10 went over the line. Captain Kannemann is absent from Grêmio's defence, but Lucas Ronier's absence tempers the estimate.

Paris Saint Germain – LyonLigue 1FootballOver 3.5 goalsOver/Under 3.5 goals · Pinnaclenote: Nuno Mendes not in the squadOdds 2.01 · market 49.2% · our estimate 51% · edge +2.5%i2.01↓ 1.99CLV +0.5 ppafternoonLoss2–0 → 2 maalia, raja 3,5

PSG's average total goals across 10 matches is 4.2 and Lyon's is 3.0. Attacking absences temper the estimate, but key defensive absences and high-scoring form lean it narrowly towards Over.

Charlotte Hornets – Washington WizardsNBABasketballOver 228.5 pointsOver/Under 228.5 points · PinnacleOdds 2.00 · market 48.7% · our estimate 51% · edge +2.0%i2.00↑ 2.01CLV −0.2 ppnightLoss110–103 → 213 pistettä, raja 228,5

Washington's 10-game total average is 246.8 points and the team are playing on consecutive nights; Charlotte slow things down and absences limit the Over estimate to 51%.

New York Rangers – Los Angeles KingsNHLIce hockeyUnder 5.5 goalsOver/Under 5.5 goals · incl. OT & shootout · 1xBetOdds 2.04 · market 47.6% · our estimate 50% · edge +2.0%i2.04→ 2.04CLV 0.0 ppnightLoss3–6 → 9 maalia, raja 5,5

The Kings have scored fewer than two goals in seven consecutive games, Kuemper has been strong in his recent starts and LA are without key attacking players.

Edmonton Oilers – Detroit Red WingsNHLIce hockeyOver 6.5 goalsOver/Under 6.5 goals · incl. OT & shootout · PinnacleOdds 1.78 · market 54.7% · our estimate 59% · edge +5.0%i1.78↑ 1.83CLV −1.5 ppnightWin3–3 vmk → 7 maalia, raja 6,5

Edmonton score 4.4 goals per game, and their power play faces Detroit's 65.8% penalty kill. Confirmed starters Jarry (.861) and first-timer Postava support the Over estimate.

Denver Nuggets – Golden State WarriorsNBABasketballDenver Nuggets −7.5 pointsHandicap −7.5 · Unibet (NL)Odds 1.96 · market 49.6% · our estimate 55% · edge +7.8%i1.96→ 1.96CLV 0.0 ppnightLoss114–134 → marginaali -20, linja −7,5

The Warriors are playing their second game on consecutive nights and travelling from Phoenix to Denver without Butler, Porziņģis and Moody. Denver −7.5 still has only a moderate edge, as the Nuggets are also short-handed.