Tuesday 27 Oct 2026 · 24 picks · 10/24 hit · return 75.8%

Hits

10/24

of all published

Return

75.8%

flat-stake singles

Value picks

1/1

return 205.0%

Likely

4/6

return 106.7%

Totals & spreads

4/13

return 60.2%

Specials

1/4

return 47.8%

MatchSportPickOddsKick-off (your time)StatusResult
LikelyOdds 1.30–1.75 · hit more often than value picks, but at short odds one loss wipes out several wins. Edge here is usually near zero or negative – no value edge, nothing is certain.
KalPa – SportLiigaIce hockeyKalPa to winEstimate ≥ marketMatch winner · incl. OT & shootout · CoralOdds 1.60 · market 57.9% · our estimate 60% · edge -4.8%i1.60↓ 1.52CLV +3.3 ppafternoonWin5–2 (KalPa voitti)

KalPa have been more efficient than Sport in recent matches and hold an advantage on both the power play and penalty kill. Both have had the same amount of rest, and the starting goaltenders have been confirmed.

Benevento – US Catanzaro 1929Serie BFootballBenevento to winMatch winner (1X2) · GrosvenorOdds 1.64 · market 56.8% · our estimate 57% · edge -7.0%i1.64↓ 1.57CLV +2.7 ppafternoonLoss1–1 (tasapeli)

Benevento are the market's most likely home winner, but the absences and Catanzaro's managerial change provide no evidence-based reason to exceed the market's 56.7% estimate.

Carolina Hurricanes – Boston BruinsNHLIce hockeyCarolina Hurricanes to winMatch winner · incl. OT & shootout · Paddy PowerOdds 1.53 · market 62.9% · our estimate 63% · edge -3.6%i1.53↑ 1.55CLV −0.8 ppnightWin2–1 (Carolina Hurricanes voitti)

Carolina are strong home favourites, but Boston's excellent form and Swayman level the match-up. The estimate remains at the market's fair 63%.

New York Knicks – Detroit PistonsNBABasketballNew York Knicks to winMatch winner · WinamaxOdds 1.62 · market 59.7% · our estimate 60% · edge -3.3%i1.62→ 1.62CLV 0.0 ppnightWin111–97 (New York Knicks voitti)

The Knicks are home favourites, while Detroit are without Jalen Duren and Ausar Thompson and Isaiah Joe are doubtful. Detroit's strong start to the season, however, prevents us from raising the estimate above the market.

Vegas Golden Knights – Ottawa SenatorsNHLIce hockeyVegas Golden Knights to winMatch winner · incl. OT & shootout · Paddy PowerOdds 1.65 · market 58.2% · our estimate 62% · edge +2.3%i1.65↓ 1.63CLV +0.7 ppnightWin4–1 (Vegas Golden Knights voitti)

Vegas have been 5–2–0 at home and hold the goaltending edge, as Ottawa start Jonas Johansson with Ullmark sidelined. Hill is Vegas' projected starter, not confirmed.

Anaheim Ducks – Vancouver CanucksNHLIce hockeyAnaheim Ducks to winMatch winner · incl. OT & shootout · 888Odds 1.50 · market 63.4% · our estimate 63% · edge -4.9%i1.50↓ 1.47CLV +1.4 ppnightLoss5–6 ja. (Vancouver Canucks voitti jatkoajalla)

Anaheim face Vancouver, who are on a 10-game winless run and whose defensive and penalty-killing figures are among the NHL's worst. The estimate nevertheless matches the market's fair distribution.

Value picksOur estimate beats the market
Utah Mammoth – Minnesota WildNHLIce hockeyMinnesota Wild to winMatch winner · incl. OT & shootout · Paddy PowerBlind estimate 54% · market 46.8% · edge +10.7%i2.05↓ 2.03CLV +0.5 ppnightWin1–3 (Minnesota Wild voitti)

Why we think the market is wrong: The confirmed goaltending difference favours Minnesota: Wallstedt has posted 91.8%, Vejmelka 87.3–87.8%.

The confirmed goaltending difference favours Minnesota: Wallstedt has posted 91.8%, Vejmelka 87.3–87.8%. Utah's strong five-man statistics and Minnesota's game schedule keep the edge modest.

Totals & spreadsOver/under picks call the match's total goals or points, not the winner. Odds are 1.70–2.20 and the reason is always named: pace, goaltending, absences or conditions. In ice hockey, goal totals are settled including overtime and the shootout; the shootout counts as one goal. In football only regulation time. Spread picks call the winning margin: Lakers −4.5 wins if the Lakers win by five or more.
Dubai Basketball – Paris BasketballEuroLeagueBasketballUnder 179.5 pointsOver/Under 179.5 points · CoolbetOdds 1.91 · market 50.5% · our estimate 54% · edge +3.1%i1.91→ 1.91CLV 0.0 ppmorningLoss93–99 → 192 pistettä, raja 179,5

The line is high, especially relative to Dubai's 168.7-point match average. Dubai's slow style of play and uncertain absences in both teams' backcourts tilt the estimate Under.

Panathinaikos – Pallacanestro Olimpia MilanoEuroLeagueBasketballOver 165.5 pointsOver/Under 165.5 points · 888Odds 2.00 · market 49.0% · our estimate 53% · edge +6.0%i2.00line movedmorningLoss80–75 → 155 pistettä, raja 165,5

Milano's total average across seven EuroLeague matches is 176.1 and their defence has conceded 92.6 points per match; Sloukas' return strengthens Panathinaikos' offence.

Panathinaikos – Pallacanestro Olimpia MilanoEuroLeagueBasketballPallacanestro Olimpia Milano +13.5 pointsHandicap +13.5 · PinnacleOdds 2.00 · market 48.9% · our estimate 52% · edge +4.0%i2.00↓ 1.88CLV +3.2 ppmorningWin80–75 → marginaali -5, linja +13,5

Milano receive a 13.5-point Handicap, although a cross-estimate of the season's offensive and defensive figures produces a home margin of around 11 points. Panathinaikos are also without Rogkavopoulos.

Valencia Basket – Fenerbahce SKEuroLeagueBasketballUnder 175.5 pointsOver/Under 175.5 points · PinnacleOdds 1.91 · market 51.2% · our estimate 55% · edge +5.1%i1.91line movedmorningWin86–78 → 164 pistettä, raja 175,5

Fenerbahçe are the EuroLeague's slowest team and allow the fewest points. Valencia raise the pace, but 175.5 is a high line relative to their opponents' 153.3-point total average across seven matches.

Saski Baskonia – Real MadridEuroLeagueBasketballReal Madrid −9.5 pointsHandicap −9.5 · PinnacleOdds 1.99 · market 49.0% · our estimate 53% · edge +5.5%i1.99↑ 2.00CLV −0.2 ppmorningWin86–104 → marginaali +18, linja −9,5

Baskonia's injuries have thinned their rotation, while Real have won eight matches in a row and scored 95.3 points per match in the EuroLeague.

Saski Baskonia – Real MadridEuroLeagueBasketballUnder 182.5 pointsOver/Under 182.5 points · CoolbetOdds 1.97 · market 49.7% · our estimate 53% · edge +3.4%i1.97↓ 1.91CLV +1.6 ppmorningLoss86–104 → 190 pistettä, raja 182,5

The rough total-points expectation derived from offensive and defensive averages across seven EuroLeague matches is 180.7. Baskonia's 83.3-point offensive average narrowly supports the Under selection.

KK Crvena zvezda – Maccabi Tel AvivEuroLeagueBasketballKK Crvena zvezda −5.5 pointsHandicap −5.5 · PinnacleOdds 1.93 · market 50.0% · our estimate 56% · edge +8.1%i1.93→ 1.93CLV 0.0 ppafternoonWin100–78 → marginaali +22, linja −5,5

Over seven EuroLeague matches, Crvena's points differential is +3.6 per game and Maccabi's is −6.4. Lundberg's absence further weakens Maccabi's backcourt.

Philadelphia Flyers – Columbus Blue JacketsNHLIce hockeyUnder 5.5 goalsOver/Under 5.5 goals · incl. OT & shootout · PinnacleOdds 1.96 · market 49.6% · our estimate 53% · edge +3.9%i1.96↑ 1.97CLV −0.3 ppnightLoss3–3 ja 0–1 → 7 maalia, raja 5,5

The total expectation derived from the teams' attacking and defensive averages is around 5.3 goals, and confirmed starters Talbot and Vladar come into the game in good recent form.

Chicago Blackhawks – Los Angeles KingsNHLIce hockeyOver 5.5 goalsOver/Under 5.5 goals · incl. OT & shootout · MarathonbetOdds 1.76 · market 54.4% · our estimate 58% · edge +2.1%i1.76↑ 1.78CLV −0.6 ppnightLoss2–1 → 3 maalia, raja 5,5

Both teams' recent games have averaged at least 6.0 total goals. Knight's weak start to the season, Forsberg's projected start and the Kings playing on consecutive days tilt towards the Over.

Dallas Stars – New Jersey DevilsNHLIce hockeyUnder 5.5 goalsOver/Under 5.5 goals · incl. OT & shootout · PinnacleOdds 2.00 · market 49.1% · our estimate 53% · edge +6.0%i2.00↓ 1.96CLV +1.0 ppnightLoss1–5 → 6 maalia, raja 5,5

Dallas' defensive figure over 10 games is 1.6 conceded per game and their penalty kill is 92.3%. DeSmith is confirmed to start, and New Jersey's defensive structure in recent games also supports the Under selection.

Utah Mammoth – Minnesota WildNHLIce hockeyOver 6.5 goalsOver/Under 6.5 goals · incl. OT & shootout · PinnacleOdds 2.01 · market 48.3% · our estimate 51% · edge +2.5%i2.01→ 2.01CLV 0.0 ppnightLoss1–3 → 4 maalia, raja 6,5

Utah's high goal totals in recent games, 66.7% penalty kill and Vejmelka's weak start to the season support the Over; Wallstedt's strong form tempers the estimate.

Vegas Golden Knights – Ottawa SenatorsNHLIce hockeyOver 6.5 goalsOver/Under 6.5 goals · incl. OT & shootout · PinnacleOdds 1.93 · market 50.4% · our estimate 54% · edge +4.2%i1.93↑ 2.00CLV −1.8 ppnightLoss4–1 → 5 maalia, raja 6,5

Ottawa's confirmed starter Johansson has played only one game with an 85.7% save percentage, and Ullmark is sidelined. Vegas' strong power play faces Ottawa's 67.7% penalty kill.

San Jose Sharks – Buffalo SabresNHLIce hockeyOver 6.5 goalsOver/Under 6.5 goals · incl. OT & shootout · PinnacleOdds 1.81 · market 53.8% · our estimate 57% · edge +3.2%i1.81↓ 1.76CLV +1.6 ppnightLoss0–2 → 2 maalia, raja 6,5

Buffalo's projected starter Colten Ellis has posted 86.4% and confirmed Sharks starter Yaroslav Askarov 88.3%. Buffalo have also killed only 69.2% of their penalties.

SpecialsSpecials call an individual player's statistic: points, goals, assists, shots, power-play points or saves in the NHL; points, goals, assists or shots in Liiga; points, rebounds, assists or threes in the NBA; and shots and shots on target in football. Hockey and basketball picks are published with a confirmed line-up; a football pick may be published before the line-up is announced and is voided under the bookmaker's rule if the player does not start. Odds are 1.60–2.20 and the reason is always named.
Nico PazTorino – Como · Serie AFootballNico Paz Over 1.5 shots on targetShots on target Over/Under 1.5 · UnibetOdds 2.10 · market 47.6% · our estimate 52% · edge +9.2%i2.10↓ 1.90CLV +5.0 ppmorningLoss1 laukausta maalia kohti, raja 1,5 · 90 min

Last 9: 5/9 over 1.5 · 82 min

Paz has exceeded the line in 5/9 matches and is projected to play in the number 10 position. Torino's recent shots-on-target allowance to midfielders and Como's congested match schedule lower the estimate to 52%.

Miro HeiskanenDallas Stars – New Jersey Devils · NHLIce hockeyMiro Heiskanen Over 0.5 pointsPoints Over/Under 0.5 · PinnacleOdds 1.77 · market 53.1% · our estimate 62% · edge +9.7%i1.77→ 1.77CLV 0.0 ppnightLossEi pisteitä

Last 20: 11/20 over 0.5 · TOI 24:20

Heiskanen is in the projected first defensive pairing and PP1. The hit rate over the last 10 games is 7/10, his ice time has risen to 27 minutes and the Devils' penalty kill has been 74.1%.

Robert ThomasSt Louis Blues – Montréal Canadiens · NHLIce hockeyRobert Thomas Under 1.5 shotsShots on goal Over/Under 1.5 · UnibetOdds 1.91 · market 48.5% · our estimate 60% · edge +14.6%i1.91→ 1.91CLV 0.0 ppnightWinThomas laukoi pelissä 0 kertaa

Last 20: 12/20 under 1.5 · shots/60 4.7 · TOI 19:41

Thomas has stayed under the line in 6/10 and 12/20 games. Montréal allow only 26.5 shots per game, but the first line, PP1 and increased ice time prevent us from raising the estimate above 60%.

Simon HolmstromNashville Predators – New York Islanders · NHLIce hockeySimon Holmstrom Under 1.5 shotsShots on goal Over/Under 1.5 · UnibetOdds 1.83 · market 50.5% · our estimate 59% · edge +8.0%i1.83→ 1.83CLV 0.0 ppnightLossHolmstrom laukoi pelissä nhl.com mukaan 3 kertaa

Last 20: 13/20 under 1.5 · shots/60 4.9 · TOI 17:13

Holmström has stayed under the line in 6/10 recent games, but his promotion to the first line and increased ice time recently lower the Under estimate from the empirical 63% to 59%.