Week 44 · 26 Oct – 1 Nov 2026
24 picks awaiting settlementThe week is in progress: figures update after every settlement run.
Picks
38
Settled
14/38
Hit rate
42.9%
6/14
Return (level stakes)
71.4%
Avg CLV
+0.3 pp
n = 14
Closing line beaten
50.0%
Voided
0
Summary
In week 44 BetSorceress published 38 picks, of which 6 won (42.9% of settled). At level stakes the return was 71.4%. The closing line was beaten on 50.0% of picks, by +0.3 percentage points on average. The best lane was Likely (76.3%), the weakest Totals & spreads (51.1%). 24 picks are still awaiting settlement.
Comparison
| Metric | This week | Previous week | Change | Since 1 Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Picks | 38 | 173 | −135 | 579 |
| Hit rate | 42.9% | 62.6% | −19.7 pp | 59.5% |
| Return (level stakes) | 71.4% | 108.8% | −37.4 pp | 103.5% |
| Avg CLV | +0.3 pp | +0.7 pp | −0.4 pp | +0.7 pp |
| Closing line beaten | 50.0% | 55.6% | −5.6 pp | 57.5% |
By lane
| Lane | Settled | Hit rate | Return | Avg CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Likely | 3/6 | 50.0% | 76.3% | +0.1 pp |
| Value picks | 1/1 | 100.0% | 183.0% | +0.3 pp |
| Totals & spreads | 2/7 | 28.6% | 51.1% | +0.5 pp |
By sport
| Sport | Settled | Hit rate | Return | Avg CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Football | 2/5 | 40.0% | 72.6% | +1.8 pp |
| Basketball | 2/5 | 40.0% | 61.6% | −1.2 pp |
| Ice hockey | 1/3 | 33.3% | 59.3% | 0.0 pp |
| American football | 1/1 | 100.0% | 150.0% | +0.9 pp |
Days of the week
Mon 71.4%Tue –Wed –Thu –Fri –Sat –Sun –
Best day: Mon 71.4%
Top three picks by CLV
| Match | Sport | Pick | Odds | Kick-off (your time) | Status | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba – GrêmioBrasileirão Série A | Football⚽ | Over 2.5 goalsTotals & spreadsOver/Under 2.5 goals · Pinnaclenote: W. Kannemann not in the squadOdds 2.07 · market 48.1% · our estimate 52% · edge +7.6%i | 2.07↓ 1.89CLV +4.6 pp | morning | Loss | 0–1 → 1 maalia, raja 2,5 |
| FC Copenhagen – OB Odense BKSuperliga (DEN) | Football⚽ | FC Copenhagen to winLikelyEstimate ≥ marketMatch winner (1X2) · Pinnaclenote: T. Maseko, W. Martin, J. Niemiec, P. Therkildsen not in the squadOdds 1.50 · market 64.2% · our estimate 64% · edge -3.7%i | 1.50↓ 1.42CLV +3.8 pp | morning | Loss | 1–1 (tasapeli) |
| Edmonton Oilers – Detroit Red WingsNHL | Ice hockey🏒 | Edmonton Oilers to winLikelyMatch winner · incl. OT & shootout · PinnacleOdds 1.61 · market 60.5% · our estimate 61% · edge -2.6%i | 1.61↓ 1.57CLV +1.6 pp | night | Loss | Detroit Red Wings voitti Edmonton Oilersin 4–3 voittomaalikilpailussa. |
Bottom three picks by CLV
| Match | Sport | Pick | Odds | Kick-off (your time) | Status | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Cavaliers – Minnesota TimberwolvesNBA | Basketball🏀 | Cleveland Cavaliers to winLikelyMatch winner (1X2) · WinamaxOdds 1.54 · market 62.4% · our estimate 62% · edge -4.1%i | 1.54↑ 1.68CLV −5.4 pp | night | Win | Cleveland Cavaliers voitti 127–125 jatkoajalla. |
| Edmonton Oilers – Detroit Red WingsNHL | Ice hockey🏒 | Over 6.5 goalsTotals & spreadsOver/Under 6.5 goals · incl. OT & shootout · PinnacleOdds 1.78 · market 54.7% · our estimate 59% · edge +5.0%i | 1.78↑ 1.83CLV −1.5 pp | night | Win | 3–3 vmk → 7 maalia, raja 6,5 |
| Milwaukee Bucks – Indiana PacersNBA | Basketball🏀 | Indiana Pacers to winLikelyMatch winner (1X2) · PinnacleOdds 1.62 · market 60.2% · our estimate 60% · edge -2.5%i | 1.62↑ 1.64CLV −0.7 pp | night | Loss | Milwaukee Bucks voitti 110–102. |