Thursday 29 Oct 2026 · 22 picks · 10/22 hit · return 78.4%

Hits

10/22

of all published

Return

78.4%

flat-stake singles

Likely

5/9

return 85.0%

Specials

1/2

return 91.0%

Totals & spreads

4/9

return 86.4%

Value picks

0/2

return 0.0%

MatchSportPickOddsKick-off (your time)StatusResult
LikelyOdds 1.30–1.75 · hit more often than value picks, but at short odds one loss wipes out several wins. Edge here is usually near zero or negative – no value edge, nothing is certain.
KuPS Kuopio – IF GnistanVeikkausliigaFootballKuPS Kuopio to winMatch winner (1X2) · Pinnaclenote: P. Pennanen, P. Gnanou, E. Arko-Mensah, S. Ylätupa not in the squadOdds 1.50 · market 64.4% · our estimate 64% · edge -3.5%i1.50↓ 1.47CLV +1.4 ppmorningLoss1–1 (tasapeli)

KuPS are clear home favourites, but the congested fixture schedule and Pennanen's suspension balance out Gnistan's three absences. The estimate is kept at the market's fair 64.4%.

Hammarby IF – IK SiriusAllsvenskanFootballHammarby IF to winMatch winner (1X2) · Unibet (SE)note: B. Hedlof, O. Liimatta not in the squadOdds 1.56 · market 62.4% · our estimate 62% · edge -2.7%i1.56↓ 1.44CLV +5.3 ppmorningWin2–0 (Hammarby FF voitti)

Hammarby are strong home favourites and come into the match on two away wins, but Sirius lead the league and won the first league meeting of the season. The market's 62.4% is justified.

Maccabi Tel Aviv – Paris BasketballEuroLeagueBasketballMaccabi Tel Aviv to winMatch winner · CoralOdds 1.48 · market 61.9% · our estimate 62% · edge -8.4%i1.48↑ 1.58CLV −4.3 ppmorningLoss94–99 (Paris Basketball voitti)

Maccabi are the more likely winners of the match, but poor defensive form and Paris's four-match head-to-head winning streak prevent the estimate from being raised above the market.

Real Madrid – Fenerbahce SKEuroLeagueBasketballReal Madrid to winMatch winner · PinnacleOdds 1.47 · market 65.6% · our estimate 66% · edge -3.6%i1.47↓ 1.45CLV +0.9 ppmorningWin95–76 (Real Madrid voitti)

Real Madrid's strong attacking form and home advantage make them clear favourites, but Fenerbahçe's defence and Madrid's absences keep the estimate at market level.

Tampa Bay Lightning – Winnipeg JetsNHLIce hockeyTampa Bay Lightning to winMatch winner · incl. OT & shootout · PinnacleOdds 1.48 · market 65.7% · our estimate 66% · edge -2.8%i1.48→ 1.48CLV 0.0 ppnightWin6–4 (Tampa Bay Lightning voitti varsinaisella peliajalla)

Tampa Bay have started 7–3–1 and won all five home games, but Skinner's early-season save percentage is better than Vasilevskiy's. The estimate remains in line with the market.

Dallas Stars – Montréal CanadiensNHLIce hockeyDallas Stars to winEstimate ≥ marketMatch winner · incl. OT & shootout · PinnacleOdds 1.61 · market 60.7% · our estimate 64% · edge +3.0%i1.61↓ 1.60CLV +0.4 ppnightLoss2–5 (Montréal Canadiens voitti)

Montréal are confirmed to start Jakub Dobes (.847), while Jake Oettinger, projected for Dallas, has saved at .929. Suzuki's absence and the visiting team's long road trip support Dallas.

Minnesota Wild – New York IslandersNHLIce hockeyMinnesota Wild to winMatch winner · incl. OT & shootout · 888Odds 1.53 · market 62.0% · our estimate 62% · edge -5.1%i1.53→ 1.53CLV 0.0 ppnightLoss3–4 JA (New York Islanders voitti jatkoajalla)

Minnesota have started 9–3–2 and dominated shot quality, but Sorokin's confirmed start keeps the Islanders dangerous. The estimate remains at the market's fair 62%.

Green Bay Packers – Carolina PanthersNFLAmerican footballGreen Bay Packers to winEstimate ≥ marketMatch winner · Unibet (NL)Odds 1.53 · market 63.2% · our estimate 63% · edge -3.3%i1.53→ 1.53CLV 0.0 ppnightWin27–19 (Green Bay Packers voitti)

Green Bay are justified home favourites, but the Panthers' better points average and absences on both lines prevent lifting the estimate above the market's 63.2%.

San Jose Sharks – Vancouver CanucksNHLIce hockeySan Jose Sharks to winMatch winner · incl. OT & shootout · PinnacleOdds 1.61 · market 60.6% · our estimate 61% · edge -2.4%i1.61→ 1.61CLV 0.0 ppnightWin3–2 (San Jose Sharks voitti varsinaisella peliajalla)

San Jose have been more balanced than Vancouver early in the season, and the special-teams edge is clear. However, the goaltending situation gives no reason to lift the estimate above the market's 60.6%.

Value picksOur estimate beats the market
Pittsburgh Penguins – Utah MammothNHLIce hockeyPittsburgh Penguins to winMatch winner · incl. OT & shootout · PinnacleBlind estimate 52% · market 45.1% · edge +12.8%i2.17↑ 2.20CLV −0.6 ppnightLoss3–4 JA (Utah Mammoth voitti jatkoajalla)

Why we think the market is wrong: After four days' rest, Pittsburgh get Malkin, Kindel and Chinakhov back and have started 4–1–0 at home.

After four days' rest, Pittsburgh get Malkin, Kindel and Chinakhov back and have started 4–1–0 at home. Silovs is the confirmed starter; Utah's Vejmelka is still projected.

Nashville Predators – Washington CapitalsNHLIce hockeyNashville Predators to winMatch winner · incl. OT & shootout · PinnacleBlind estimate 57% · market 49.4% · edge +12.9%i1.98↓ 1.94CLV +1.0 ppnightLoss3–4 (Washington Capitals voitti varsinaisella peliajalla)

Why we think the market is wrong: Washington are playing a travel back-to-back with Lindgren in goal, while Nashville have rested and have confirmed Saros plus home advantage.

Washington are playing a travel back-to-back with Lindgren in goal, while Nashville have rested and have confirmed Saros plus home advantage. The Preds' strong special teams support the estimate.

Totals & spreadsOver/under picks call the match's total goals or points, not the winner. Odds are 1.70–2.20 and the reason is always named: pace, goaltending, absences or conditions. In ice hockey, goal totals are settled including overtime and the shootout; the shootout counts as one goal. In football only regulation time. Spread picks call the winning margin: Lakers −4.5 wins if the Lakers win by five or more.
Frosinone – LecceSerie AFootballUnder 3.5 goalsOver/Under 3.5 goals · LeoVegas (SE)note: Kialonda Gaspar not in the squadOdds 1.83 · market 53.9% · our estimate 57% · edge +4.3%i1.83→ 1.83CLV 0.0 ppmorningLoss5–1 → 6 maalia, raja 3,5

Over 3.5 landed in 3/10 of Frosinone's sample and 2/10 of Lecce's. Lecce's 1.0 goals scored per match pushes the estimate towards the Under market.

Kalmar FF – GAISAllsvenskanFootballUnder 2.5 goalsOver/Under 2.5 goals · Coolbetnote: A. Magashy, M. Hallberg, M. Söderbäck, A. Keita not in the squadOdds 1.90 · market 50.9% · our estimate 56% · edge +7.3%i1.90↑ 1.93CLV −0.8 ppmorningWin0–1 → 1 maalia, raja 2,5

In Kalmar's nine-match sample, only 1.6 goals per match have been scored and Over 2.5 has landed 3/9 times; GAIS have also had 4/10 Overs. Kalmar are additionally affected by absences that impact their attacking play.

Örgryte IS – Mjällby AIFAllsvenskanFootballUnder 2.5 goalsOver/Under 2.5 goals · LeoVegas (SE)Odds 2.10 · market 46.6% · our estimate 49% · edge +2.9%i2.10↓ 1.99CLV +2.6 ppmorningLoss1–2 → 3 maalia, raja 2,5

In Mjällby's 10-match sample, total goals have stayed Under 2.5 eight times, and the team have scored only 0.7 goals per match. Their third game in eight days supports a low tempo.

Vasco da Gama – FlamengoBrasileirão Série AFootballUnder 2.5 goalsOver/Under 2.5 goals · CasumoOdds 2.12 · market 46.6% · our estimate 50% · edge +6.0%i2.12↑ 2.20CLV −1.7 ppmorningLoss1–4 → 5 maalia, raja 2,5

Under 2.5 landed 5/10 times in both teams' 10-match samples, and the total-goals averages were 2.4 and 2.3. Carrascal's absence and Vasco's upcoming cup semi-final provide slight support for the Under estimate.

Grêmio – Atletico ParanaenseBrasileirão Série AFootballOver 2.5 goalsOver/Under 2.5 goals · Pinnaclenote: Diego Caito not in the squadOdds 2.02 · market 48.9% · our estimate 55% · edge +11.1%i2.02↓ 1.88CLV +3.7 ppmorningLoss2–0 → 2 maalia, raja 2,5

Athletico's total-goals average over their last 10 matches is 3.9 and Over 2.5 has landed 7/10 times; Grêmio's total per match is also 2.8.

TUTO Hockey – Kiekko-VantaaMestisIce hockeyUnder 5.5 goalsOver/Under 5.5 goals · incl. OT & shootout · CoralOdds 2.10 · market 46.2% · our estimate 49% · edge +2.9%i2.10→ 2.10CLV 0.0 ppafternoonWin2–0 → 2 maalia, raja 5,5

K-Vantaa's total-goals average over 12 matches is 5.08, the recent head-to-head matches ended 4–1 and 3–2, and both starting goaltenders have been confirmed.

Nashville Predators – Washington CapitalsNHLIce hockeyOver 6.5 goalsOver/Under 6.5 goals · incl. OT & shootout · PinnacleOdds 1.98 · market 49.1% · our estimate 53% · edge +4.9%i1.98→ 1.98CLV 0.0 ppnightWin3–4 → 7 maalia, raja 6,5

Both teams' total-goals average over their last 10 games is 6.6. Washington are playing on consecutive days, Lindgren is projected to start and two players are absent from the defence.

Minnesota Wild – New York IslandersNHLIce hockeyUnder 5.5 goalsOver/Under 5.5 goals · incl. OT & shootout · PinnacleOdds 2.06 · market 47.2% · our estimate 50% · edge +3.0%i2.06→ 2.06CLV 0.0 ppnightLoss3–3 ja 0–1 → 7 maalia, raja 5,5

Minnesota have conceded 2.3 goals per game over their last 10 games, and the Sorokin–Wallstedt goaltending pairing supports a low-scoring game. Wallstedt is, however, still unconfirmed.

Los Angeles Kings – Ottawa SenatorsNHLIce hockeyOver 5.5 goalsOver/Under 5.5 goals · incl. OT & shootout · MarathonbetOdds 1.80 · market 53.5% · our estimate 57% · edge +2.6%i1.80↑ 1.81CLV −0.3 ppnightWin5–5 ja 1–0 → 11 maalia, raja 5,5

Ottawa start Jonas Johansson (.891) instead of Ullmark, and Kuemper's season save percentage is also .888. The Kings play their third game in four days.

SpecialsSpecials call an individual player's statistic: points, goals, assists, shots, power-play points or saves in the NHL; points, goals, assists or shots in Liiga; points, rebounds, assists or threes in the NBA; and shots and shots on target in football. Hockey and basketball picks are published with a confirmed line-up; a football pick may be published before the line-up is announced and is voided under the bookmaker's rule if the player does not start. Odds are 1.60–2.20 and the reason is always named.
Giacomo CalòFrosinone – Lecce · Serie AFootballGiacomo Calò Over 0.5 shots on targetShots on target Over/Under 0.5 · UnibetOdds 1.82 · market 54.9% · our estimate 63% · edge +14.7%i1.82↑ 1.88CLV −1.7 ppafternoonWin2 laukausta maalia kohti, raja 0,5 · 77 min

Last 8: 5/8 over 0.5 · 86 min

Calò has exceeded the line in 5/8 matches, and Lecce have allowed midfielders 1.6 shots on target over the last five. He recovered from his issue and is predicted to start.

MacKenzie WeegarPittsburgh Penguins – Utah Mammoth · NHLIce hockeyMacKenzie Weegar Over 1.5 shotsShots on goal Over/Under 1.5 · PinnacleOdds 1.83 · market 51.3% · our estimate 60% · edge +9.8%i1.83→ 1.83CLV 0.0 ppnightLoss1 laukausta, raja 1,5 · M. Weegar laukaukset: 1 (boxscore 2026020205)

Last 20: 11/20 over 1.5 · shots/60 5.2 · TOI 20:57

Weegar is on Utah's first defensive pairing and PP2. He has gone over the line in 7/10 recent games, but Pittsburgh's 27.5 shots allowed per game gives no reason to lift the empirical estimate of 60%.

Past results are no guarantee of future results.